基于多因素影响的母线负荷预测系统设计及应用  

Design and Application of Bus Load Prediction System Based on the Influence of Multiple Factors

作　　者：马伟哲 江欣明 程韧俐 刘振兴 王丹 MA Weizhe;JIANG Xinming;CHENG Renli;LIU Zhenxing;WANG Dan(Shenzhen Power Supply Bureau Co.,Ltd.,Shenzhen 518000,China;Beijing Qingsoft Innovation and Technology Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100085,China)

机构地区：[1]深圳供电局有限公司,广东深圳518000 [2]北京清软创新科技股份有限公司,北京100085

出　　处：《电工技术》2020年第15期26-28,共3页Electric Engineering

摘　　要：准确的母线负荷预测可为经济调度和节点电价计算提供可靠的保障,为此提出了基于多因素影响的母线负荷预测系统。基于对影响母线负荷预测准确率因素的研究,介绍了系统设计结构和数据库设计内容。预测系统在某地区电网中得到应用,并获得了可靠的预测结果,这表明系统具有易用性、实用性的特点。Accurate bus load forecasting can provide a reliable guarantee for economic dispatch and node electricity price calculation.Therefore,a bus load forecasting system based on the influence of multiple factors was proposed.Based on the research on the factors affecting the accuracy of bus load prediction,the system design structure and database design content were introduced.The prediction system was applied in the power grid of a certain area,and reliable prediction results was obtained,which showed that the system was easy to use and practical.

关 键 词：母线 负荷预测 系统 

分 类 号：TM9[电气工程—电力电子与电力传动]