中国居民体育参与演变的空间自相关特征研究——基于2010—2018 年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)的实证分析  

Study on the Spatial Autocorrelation Characteristics of The Evolution of Chinese Residents’Sports Participation——Empirical Analysis Based on the 2010—2018 China Household Tracking Survey(CFPS)

作　　者：刘依兵 史曙生[1] 朱厚伟 赵均[2] LIU Yibing;SHI Shusheng;ZHU Houwei;ZHAO Jun(School of Sports Science,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,China;PE Dept of Jiangsu University of Science and Technology,Zhenjiang 212003,China)

机构地区：[1]南京师范大学体育科学学院,江苏南京210023 [2]江苏科技大学体育学院,江苏镇江212003

出　　处：《南京体育学院学报》2020年第9期46-54,共9页Journal of Nanjing Sports Institute

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(16BTY028)。

摘　　要：以CFPS(2010—2018年)数据中居民一周体育锻炼次数为基础,采用地理空间计量分析模型,对我国居民体育参与的空间自相关特征进行实证研究。研究发现:(1)我国各地区居民体育参与的空间依赖性呈现不稳定状态,居民体育参与总体呈现正的空间自相关关系,但区间的两极分化效应和集聚不明显;(2)近8年来,我国居民体育参与水平得到较大幅度提高,全国7大区域居民体育参与的空间自相关关系有逐渐加强的趋势,但向各自邻近区域逐渐收敛的趋势仍不够明显;(3)绝大多数地区居民体育参与未呈现显著的空间聚集现象,我国居民体育参与的空间联动效应有待进一步提升。研究选取指标较为单一,今后的研究中可纳入更多指标,结合社会、经济、体制、自然等多元因素,以深层次揭示中国居民体育参与空间分布特征的形成机制与内在原因。Based on the frequency of physical exercise per week in CFPS data(2010-2018),a geospatial econometric analysis model was used to conduct an empirical study on the spatial autocorrelation characteristics of Chinese residents’physical exercise participation.The findings are as follows:(1)The spatial dependence of the residents’sports participation in various regions of China is unstable,and the residents’sports participation in general presents a positive spatial autocorrelation,but the polarization effect and agglomeration of the regions are not obvious;(2)In the past eight years,the level of residents’sports participation in China has been greatly improved,and the spatial autocorrelation of residents’sports participation in the seven regions of China has gradually strengthened.However,the convergence to their neighboring regions is still not obvious;(3)The vast majority of the residents’sports participation does not show significant spatial clustering phenomenon,and the spatial linkage effect of the residents’sports participation in China needs to be further improved.The selected indicators in this study are relatively single,and more indicators can be included in future studies to deeply reveal the formation mechanism and internal causes of spatial distribution characteristics of Chinese residents’sports participation by combining multiple factors such as society,economy,system and nature.

关 键 词：中国 体育参与 区域特征 空间自相关 成年居民 

分 类 号：G80.05[文化科学—运动人体科学]