乘客不安全行为与地铁事故关联性的fsQCA  

Relevance study between unsafe behaviors of passengers and metro accidents based on fsQCA

作　　者：王如冰 万欣 毛鹏[2] 李德智[3] 汪翔 WANG Rubing;WAN Xin;MAO Peng;LI Dezhi;WANG Xiang(School of Business,Hohai University,Nanjing Jiangsu 211100,China;School of Civil Engineering,Nanjing Forestry University,Nanjing Jiangsu 210037,China;School of Civil Engineering,Southeast University,Nanjing Jiangsu 211189,China)

机构地区：[1]河海大学商学院,江苏南京211100 [2]南京林业大学土木工程学院,江苏南京210037 [3]东南大学土木工程学院,江苏南京211189

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2020年第7期152-158,共7页China Safety Science Journal

基　　金：国家自科基金青年项目资助(71802071);教育部人文社科青年项目(18YJCZH166);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(B200202044)。

摘　　要：为有效阻断乘客行为引发的地铁运行事故,基于40起典型事故案例,运用模糊集定性比较分析(fs QCA)方法,探究事故内在机制与形成路径。根据得到的12种条件组态,将引发事故的路径归为安全意识淡薄型、监督缺乏型和他人影响型3种类型。结果表明:防止乘客情绪化侵入限界行为,对于预防安全意识淡薄型地铁事故至关重要;加强对车厢和站台等非限界区域的监管,能有效阻断监督缺乏型事故路径;阻断他人影响型事故路径,需要采取事前控制和乘客参与式控制等方式,有效扩大来自他人的积极影响。In order to effectively prevent passenger-caused metro operation accidents,with 40 typical metro operation accidents as research object,their inner mechanism and formation path were explored by employing fs QCA approach.Then,these paths,according to twelve condition configurations obtained,were classified into three types,that is weak safety awareness,lack of supervision and influence by others.The results show that avoiding passengers’intrusion into metro gauges emotionally is vital to prevent weak safety awarenss kind of accidents.Strengthening supervision of non-gauge areas,such as carriages and platforms,can effectively block path of lack of supervision accidents.Moreover,to cut off that of influence by others accidents,measures like advanced control and participatory control of passengers should be adopted to effectively expand positive influence from others.

关 键 词：地铁运行事故 乘客 不安全行为 模糊集定性比较分析(fsQCA)方法 条件组态 

分 类 号：X928.03[环境科学与工程—安全科学]