城市自然灾害风险评估研究综述  

A Literature Review of Urban Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

作　　者：周姝天 翟国方[2] 施益军 鲁钰雯 ZHOU Shutian;ZHAI Guofang;SHI Yijun;LU Yuwen(School of Art,Nantong University,Nantong 226001,China;School of Architecture and Planning,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093,China;School of Landscape Architecture,Zhejiang A&F University,Hangzhou 311300,China)

机构地区：[1]南通大学艺术学院(建筑学院),江苏南通226001 [2]南京大学建筑与城市规划学院,江苏南京210093 [3]浙江农林大学风景园林与建筑学院,浙江杭州311300

出　　处：《灾害学》2020年第4期180-186,共7页Journal of Catastrophology

基　　金：浙江省自然科学基金(LQ20D010002);日本学术振兴会项目(18K03022)。

摘　　要：基于大量国内外文献,梳理风险评估理论与灾害系统论的观点与风险评价方法,并分别评述当前城市单灾种自然灾害和多灾种自然灾害风险评估的研究内容及方法模型。已有的城市自然灾害风险评估研究成果丰富,多学科交叉研究与多灾种风险研究已成为趋势,但在尺度上和方法上,灾害学领域的研究成果与当前城市尺度的综合防灾规划及公共安全管理存在一定脱节。未来研究需进一步:(1)探索多学科方法在灾害风险评估领域的应用;(2)强化灾害风险中生命价值损失的研究;(3)创新多灾种综合风险评估的思路与方法;(4)推动适用于城市规划管理尺度的灾害风险评估理论与方法的研究。On the basis of reviewing a large number of domestic and foreign literature, We first combsthe ideas and risk evaluation methods in the risk assessment theory and the disaster system theory. It thenreviews the contents and methods used in the studies of single-hazards risk assessment and multi-hazard risk assessment, respectively. There are abundant achievements inexisting studies on urban natural disaster risk assessment, where the cross-disciplinarymethods and focus on multi-hazard risk have become more popular. Yet, currently there is some research gap in connecting the fields of disaster sciences and comprehensive disaster prevention planning in the urban scale.Future studies could pay more attention on(1) exploring the application of multidisciplinary methods in assessing disaster risks,(2) strengthening the idea of value of life lost in disasters,(3) innovating the methods to assess multi-hazardsrisks,(4) and promotingstudy of disaster risk assessment theories and methodsthat suitable for the urban-scale planning and management.

关 键 词：城市灾害风险 灾害风险评估 灾害系统论 多灾种风险 综述 

分 类 号：X43[环境科学与工程—灾害防治] X915.5