长三角一体化发展的边界效应研究——基于城际消费流视角  

Border effect on the integration of the Yangtze River Delta:Based on the intercity consumption flow perspective

作　　者：张伊娜[1] 牛永佳 张学良[2] ZHANG Yina;NIU Yongjia;ZHANG Xueliang(School of Social Development and Public Policy,Fudan University,Shanghai 200433,P.R.China;Institute for Yangtze River Delta and Yangtze River Economic Belt Development,Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,Shanghai 200433,P.R.China)

机构地区：[1]复旦大学社会发展与公共政策学院,上海200433 [2]上海财经大学长三角与长江经济带发展研究院,上海200433

出　　处：《重庆大学学报（社会科学版）》2020年第5期1-13,共13页Journal of Chongqing University(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目“基于消费流视角的城市群多中心到一体化的影响因素与发展策略研究”(20YJAZH133);国家社会科学基金重点项目“新时代长三角城市群高质量发展战略研究”(19AZD006);第四次全国经济普查公开招标立项课题“长江三角洲区域一体化发展研究”(JJPCZB07)。

摘　　要：随着社会技术的进步与市场经济的深化,消费流在反映区域间经济活动的往来程度时显现出了优势。文章借助中国银联2018年城际消费流数据,基于调整后的Head-Mayer边界效应模型,对长三角城市群的市场一体化程度进行测算和评估。实证结果表明:长三角地区的统一市场尚未完全形成,城市边界和省际边界均对异地消费具有抑制作用;省际边界效应表现出异质性,其中上海与其他三省之间的边界对消费流的影响相对较弱,而浙江、江苏、安徽三省彼此之间的市场分割更为明显;长三角各城市的边界效应程度不尽相同,上海的城市边界效应强度为1.05,江苏省各城市的边界效应强度处于3.06~5.51之间,浙江省各城市的边界效应强度介于3.13~6.24之间,而安徽省各城市的边界效应程度最为强烈,在3.85~6.58之间分布。基于长三角区域经济一体化的发展现状,提出以下几点建议:首先,要肯定区域经济协调组织在推动区域经济发展过程中发挥的重要作用。其次,继续深化取消影响区域经济发展的人为阻碍的改革,进一步降低经济合作的障碍和成本。最后,需要积极借鉴国际区域合作经验来推动长三角地区发展。With the advancement of social technology and the deepening of market economy,consumption flow has shown its advantages in reflecting the degree of regional economic integration.Based on the China UnionPay’s intercity consumption flow data in 2018,this paper applies Head-Mayer border effect model to measure and evaluate the degree of regional economic integration of the Yangtze River Delta City Group.The empirical results show that:1)The unified market in the Yangtze River Delta region has not yet been fully formed.Both urban and inter-provincial boundaries have significant barrier effect on off-site consumption.2)The inter-provincial boundary effect shows heterogeneity,in which the boundary between Shanghai and the other three provinces has a relatively weak impact on the consumption flow,while the market segmentation between Zhejiang,Jiangsu and Anhui provinces is more obvious.3)The degree of border effect varies from city to city in the Yangtze River Delta.The intensity of the urban boundary effect in Shanghai is 1.05.The border effect of the cities in Jiangsu Province is between 3.06 and 5.51,the border effect of the cities in Zhejiang Province is between 3.13 and 6.24,and the border effect of the cities in Anhui Province,which is the most intense,ranges from 3.85 to 6.58.Based on the current situation of regional economic integration in the Yangtze River Delta,the following suggestions are put forward:first of all,the role of regional economic coordination organizations in promoting regional economic development draws our attention.Secondly,we should continue to deepen the reform of removing the artificial obstacles that affect regional economic development and further reduce the obstacles and costs of economic cooperation.Lastly,we need actively learn from the experience of international regional cooperation to promote the development of the Yangtze River Delta.

关 键 词：长三角城市群 市场一体化 城际消费流 边界效应 区域经济合作 

分 类 号：F713.56[经济管理—市场营销] F727[经济管理—产业经济]