世界杂粮生产及贸易形势分析  

Analysis on sisutation of world minor grain production and trade

作　　者：李元鑫 曲佳佳 张蕙杰[2] 胡向东[1] 麻吉亮[1] LI Yuan-xin;QU Jia-jia;ZHANG Hui-jie;HU Xiang-dong;MA Ji-liang(Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development,Beijing 100081,China;Agricultural Information Institute,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Beijing 100081,China)

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京100081 [2]中国农业科学院农业信息研究所,北京100081

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2020年第18期169-176,共8页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：国家食用豆产业技术体系(CARS-08-G21)。

摘　　要：了解过去10年世界杂粮生产及贸易形势,对把控世界杂粮生产及贸易变动、研判未来杂粮生产及贸易格局至关重要。利用FAOSTAT数据库杂粮生产及贸易统计数据,分析近10年世界杂粮生产及贸易形势演变,总结世界杂粮生产及贸易形势变化特点。研究发现,过去10年世界杂粮单产水平提高,总产量不断增加,进出口贸易总量也呈上升趋势,但进出口贸易价格下降。世界杂粮单品种生产集中度和贸易集中度较高,杂粮主要生产品种和贸易品种预期不会发生大的变动,主要生产区和主要贸易区同样预期不会发生大的变动,但后者局部存在调整。禾木类杂粮和食用豆类杂粮及世界杂粮不同品种之间呈不同的生产特性和贸易特性。Understanding the situation of world minor grain production and trade in the past 10 years was very important to control the changes of world minor grain production and trade,and to study and judge the future pattern of world minor grain production and trade.Based on the statistical data of world minor grain production and trade in FAOSTAT database,the evolution of world minor grain pro⁃duction and trade situation in recent 10 years was analyzed,and the characteristics of world minor grain production and trade situation were summarized.It was found that in the past 10 years,the world's grain yield per unit area has increased,the total output has been increasing,and the total import and export trade volume has also shown an upward trend,but the price of import and export trade has decreased.The production concentration and trade concentration of single variety of minor grain were relatively high in the world.Ma⁃jor production and trade varieties of minor grain were not expected to change greatly.Major production areas and major trade areas were also expected to have no major changes,but the latter was partially adjusted.There were different production characteristics and trade characteristics among different varieties of gramineous grains,edible legume grains and different varieties in the world.

关 键 词：杂粮 生产集中度 贸易集中度 

分 类 号：F312[经济管理—产业经济]