我国生态环境预警研究进展  

Research progress of eco-environmental early warning in China

作　　者：范小杉[1,2] 何萍[1,2] 徐杰[1,2] 任颖[1,2] 侯利萍[1,2] FAN Xiaoshan;HE Ping;XU Jie;REN Ying;HOU Liping(State Key Laboratory of Environmental Criteria and Risk Assessment,Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences;State Environment Protection Key Laboratory of Regional Ecological Processes and Functions Assessment,Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences)

机构地区：[1]环境基准与风险评估国家重点实验室,中国环境科学研究院 [2]国家环境保护区域生态过程与功能评估重点实验室,中国环境科学研究院

出　　处：《环境工程技术学报》2020年第6期996-1006,共11页Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFC0506601)。

摘　　要：通过回顾国内生态环境预警研究历程,系统分析、总结了生态环境预警研究基本原理、研究内容与研究方法,指出国内生态环境预警研究视野涵盖生态环境要素与生态系统、人居生活与产业经济、流域与不同级别行政区等众多领域,但由于基础理论及关键技术研究成果积累有限,研究内容设置欠合理、研究技术方法体系不健全,难以支撑国家及地方生态安全保障需求;提出今后生态环境预警研究亟须强化基础理论建设,补充生态安全问题辨识、诊断及其产生发展、驱动机制等重要研究内容,重视不同类型生态风险在时间上延续、空间上扩展的发展特征,并采用多尺度研究技术获取全面的数据信息充实研究细节、提高生态环境预警精准度,进而健全生态环境预警研究体系,切实为区域生态环境管理提供支撑。The fundamental principles,research contents and methods of eco-environmental early warning were systematically analyzed and summarized by reviewing the research process of eco-environmental early warning in China.The results showed that the research fields covered the eco-environmental elements and ecosystems,human habitation and industrial economy,river basins and different levels of administrative districts;however,the current researches were difficult to support the national and local ecological security needs,due to the limited accumulation of basic theories and key technologies research results,unreasonable research contents and imperfect research technology and method system.It was proposed that the construction of basic theory should be strengthened,covering the important research contents such as the identification,diagnosis,development and driving mechanism of the problems of ecological security.Moreover,the development characteristics of different types of ecological risks in time and space should be highly considered,and the multi-scale research techniques should be used for obtaining comprehensive data information to enrich the research details and improving the accuracy of eco-environmental early warning,and then the eco-environmental early warning research system should be perfected to provide supports for regional eco-environment management.

关 键 词：生态环境预警 生态安全 生态风险 预测精准度 时空特征 

分 类 号：X171.3[环境科学与工程—环境科学]