河北省入境旅游客源市场时空演化及拓展研究  

Study on Temporal and Spatial Evolution and Expansion of Hebei Inbound Tourist Market

作　　者：郭伟[1,2] 赵新蕊 冯麟茜[1] GUO Wei;ZHAO Xinrui;FENG Linqian(School of Economics and Management,Yanshan University,Qinhuangdao 066004,China;Research Center of Regional Economic Development,Yanshan University,Qinhuangdao 066004,China)

机构地区：[1]燕山大学经济管理学院,河北秦皇岛066004 [2]燕山大学区域经济发展研究中心,河北秦皇岛066004

出　　处：《燕山大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2020年第6期73-79,共7页Journal of Yanshan University:Philosophy and Social Science

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“高铁条件下京津冀区域旅游效率分析及协同提升路径研究”(18YJA790028);河北省教育厅人文重点研究基地资助项目“高铁条件下京津冀区域旅游效率测度及协同提升研究”(JJJD1815)。

摘　　要：以2008—2019年河北省入境旅游人数为依据,选取18个客源市场作为样本,运用市场占有率、时间变化强度指数、客流空间集中指数、亲景度指数研究方法,从时间变化和空间变化两个方面,对河北省入境旅游客源市场的演化特征进行了研究分析。研究表明:随着时间的变化,河北省入境旅游人数逐渐增长;入境游客量随时间变化强度指数在逐年减小,入境旅游市场发展良好并逐渐趋向稳定;河北省入境旅游客源市场的空间结构特征为:由分散向集中演化;2008—2019年河北省的亲景市场没有发生剧烈变动,但是除中国港澳台地区外,其他客源市场亲景度在逐年下降或保持原有水平,且各客源市场亲景度差异较明显。最后针对河北省入境旅游客源市场的演化,提出相应的拓展对策。Based on the number of inbound tourists in Hebei Province from 2008 to 2019,this study chooses 18 tourist markets as samples.This study analyzes their features in terms of market share,time change intensity index,passenger flow spatial concentration index and affinity index from time change and spatial change.This study has made three major findings.First,the number of inbound tourists in Hebei Province has gradually increased.Second,its intensity index has decreased year by year,and the Hebei inbound tourist market is experiencing a good and stable development.Third,its spatial structure is experiencing a change from decentralization to concentration.Finally,this study puts forward some suggestions on dealing with the change of the inbound tourist market and the Covid-19 in Hebei Province.

关 键 词：时间变化强度指数 客流空间集中指数 亲景度 河北省入境旅游 

分 类 号：F272.92[经济管理—企业管理]