关于全期望和全概公式及其应用的教学研究--以新型冠状病毒为例  

On Teaching and Application of the Laws of Iterated Expectation and Total Probability-Illustrated by Data from Novel Coronavirus

作　　者：董迎辉 DONG Yinghui(Department of Mathematics,Suzhou University of Science and Technology,Suzhou 215009,China)

机构地区：[1]苏州科技大学数学科学学院,江苏苏州215009

出　　处：《高等数学研究》2021年第1期31-32,39,共3页Studies in College Mathematics

基　　金：苏州科技大学教改项目(2019JGMY-17).

摘　　要：本文利用全期望公式和全概公式对采取隔离措施来应对新冠肺炎疫情进行了分析,以实际问题引入较难的知识点,最终达到既解决实际问题又剖析了理论知识的目的.The paper uses the laws of iterated expectation and total probability to analyze the isolation measures used to prevent and control COVID-19 epidemic.Difficult knowledge points are introduced by a practical problem and the necessary theories and solution to the problem are illustrated.

关 键 词：全期望公式 全概公式 灭绝概率 

分 类 号：G42[文化科学—课程与教学论]