地方政策性农业保险对农产品市场的影响研究——以武汉市蔬菜市场为例  

The impacts of local agricultural insurance policies on agricultural product market:A case study of Wuhan vegetable market

作　　者：宋长鸣[1] 肖小勇[1] 李崇光[1] SONG Chang-ming;XIAO Xiao-yong;LI Chong-guang(College of Economics and Management,Huazhong Agricultural University,Wuhan,Hubei 430070,China)

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学经济管理学院,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《农业现代化研究》2021年第1期85-93,共9页Research of Agricultural Modernization

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71873051,71503093,71501101);国家大宗蔬菜产业技术体系产业经济与发展政策研究(CARS-23-F01)。

摘　　要：2019年中央一号文件指出,探索对地方优势特色农产品保险实施以奖代补试点。地方政府的保费补贴政策是否有效降低了农产品市场的风险?本文基于农业政策保险背景,以武汉市为例,运用GARCH模型,分析武汉市实行蔬菜保险保费补贴政策后大宗蔬菜品种价格波动变化,探讨地方政策性农业保险对蔬菜价格波动的影响。结果表明,武汉市蔬菜保险政策实施后,大宗蔬菜20类蔬菜品种有14类蔬菜品种价格波动程度明显减缓,意味着武汉市蔬菜保险保费补贴政策的实施,缓解了武汉市大部分蔬菜品种市场价格波动的风险。地方性农业保险的实施,不仅可以保障农业生产者的利益,还可以稳定蔬菜市场,降低蔬菜市场价格波动的幅度。武汉市推行蔬菜保险有效性的经验证据,可拓展地方性农业保险政策作用与功能研究的边界,更为缓解其它类型农产品价格波动幅度提供了参考借鉴。湖北省省级层面并没有统一的蔬菜保险保费补贴措施,为稳定湖北省蔬菜生产,相关部门可以考虑在全省范围内逐步开展蔬菜政策性农业保险。In 2019,the No.1 Document of China’s Central Government pointed out to explore subsidies by rewards to local governments who carried out agricultural insurance premium subsidy policies for agricultural products with advantages and characteristics.Taking Wuhan vegetable market as an example,this study seeks to investigate whether local agricultural insurance premium subsidy policies reduce agricultural product market risks by the GARCH model.Results show that after the implementation of the vegetable insurance policy,among the 20 vegetable varieties studied,the price volatility of 14 vegetable varieties has been significantly reduced.This means that the implementation of vegetable insurance premium subsidy policies of the Wuhan Government reduced most kinds of vegetable price volatility.The implementation of Wuhan vegetable agricultural insurance premium subsidy policy shows that the implementation of local agricultural insurance can not only protect the interests of agricultural producers,but also stabilize the vegetable market and reduce the fluctuation of vegetable prices.This paper provided some empirical evidence for the effectiveness of the implementation of vegetable insurance premium subsidy policies in Wuhan and also confirmed the role and functions of local agricultural insurance policies.In addition,this study also identified a successful example for alleviating the price fluctuations of other agricultural products.Currently,there are no uniform vegetable insurance premium subsidy measures at the provincial level in Hubei Province.To stabilize vegetable production in Hubei Province,relevant departments may consider gradually developing vegetable policy agricultural insurance across the province.

关 键 词：农业保险 蔬菜 价格波动 风险 GARCH模型 

分 类 号：F840.66[经济管理—保险]