“一带一路”倡议影响下中国省际低碳转型的绩效驱动因素研究  

Provincial Low-carbon Transition Performance Driving Force Analysis Considering“The Belt and Road”Initiative

作　　者：仲崇文[1] 裴晓静 赵欣娜 Zhong Chongwen;Pei Xiaojing;Zhao Xinna(School of Economics and Management,Beijing Institute of Petrochemical Technology,Beijing 102617,China)

机构地区：[1]北京石油化工学院经济管理学院,北京102617

出　　处：《数量经济研究》2021年第1期58-72,共15页The Journal of Quantitative Economics

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“新时期中国经济长期稳定增长的潜力与实现路径研究”(17JJD790009);北京市哲学与社会科学规划项目“北京市医疗资源管理模式与患者流优化的问题研究”(16GLB019)的联合资助。

摘　　要：针对中国能源消费、碳减排并重的低碳转型绩效的空间差异化问题,考虑到资源禀赋的区域异质性影响,本文结合空间Tobit模型,构建了三阶段动态Malmquist模型。基于数据包络分析方法,本文结合中国各省级地区的低碳转型数据,通过中国省际低碳转型全要素生产率中的资本时滞效应和资源禀赋效应,剖析挖掘低碳转型绩效提升的驱动力。继而,从“一带一路”涵盖省区市的角度入手,对比剖析资源禀赋对转型绩效的影响。基于此,本文不仅仅量化评价了能源消费、碳减排并重的低碳转型绩效,更是基于政策红利的覆盖性以及省际资源禀赋的异质性,实现“稳增长,碳减排”的低碳绩效提升路径的优化。结果表明,中国省际低碳转型绩效呈现梯度分布性差异,以重庆和云南为代表的“一带一路”涵盖省区市应侧重影响要素的配置效率提升,而以内蒙古和陕西为代表的“一带一路”涵盖省区市则应聚焦于资源禀赋效应的利用。To analyze the provincial performance of the energy consumption and low-carbon transition in China,this paper constructed a three-stage dynamic Malmquist model considering the policy bonus of“The Belt and Road”and the heterogeneity of resource endowment effect.Basing on spatial regression model,the capital time lag effect and resource endowment effect are used to find the driving force of the low-carbon transition performance improvement with the provinces’data in China.Therefore,it not only evaluated the provincial performance,but also suggested the sources and impetus of regional resource endowments and policy bonus to find feasible transition paths.The empirical results revealed that the performance presented a gradient distribution with obvious distinctions between the“The Belt and Road”provinces and others.Chongqing and Yunnan should emphasize the optimal allocation of their variable allocation.Inner Mongolia and Shaanxi,by contrast,should focus on the perfection of the resource endowments.

关 键 词：低碳转型绩效 资源禀赋 “一带一路” 面板Tobit模型 Malmquist模型 

分 类 号：X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学] F205[经济管理—国民经济]