新型城镇化背景下绿地—经济发展模型的综合研究——以江苏省为例  

A Comprehensive Study of Green-Economic Development Model under the Background of New Urbanization——Take Jiangsu Province as an example

作　　者：吕蕊汐 吕忠全[1] 王惜凡 于祯艨 吕欣晔 LV Rui-xi;LV Zhong-quan;WANG Xi-fan;YU Zhen-meng;LV Xin-ye(College of Science,Nanjing Forestry University,Nanjing 210037,China;College of Economics and Management,Nanjing Forestry University,Nanjing 210037,China;Nanjing No.9 Middle School,Nanjing 210018,China)

机构地区：[1]南京林业大学理学院,南京210037 [2]南京林业大学经济管理学院,南京210037 [3]南京市第九中学,南京210018

出　　处：《中国林业经济》2021年第3期36-40,共5页China Forestry Economics

基　　金：南京林业大学大学生实践创新项目“基于数据分析下新型城镇化对人均平均公园面积的影响:以江苏省为例”(201910298026Z)。

摘　　要：在新型城镇化背景下对绿地经济发展状况进行研究,以江苏省为例,构建了评价指标体系并通过熵权法计算各区域绿地-经济发展模型的综合分数,利用K-Means方法进行空间聚类,最后基于空间计量分析进一步探究综合分数在空间和时间上的滞后效应和相关性,研究表明:(1)人均GDP和人均公园绿地面积的增大能够提升第三产业在GDP中的比重,且三者能够显著拉升绿地经济发展模型的综合分数;(2)城镇居民可支配收入对综合分数的贡献度很低,江苏省主要通过传统重工业来提高民生经济,这不利于绿地建设;(3)绿地经济建设发展具有一定的时间和空间滞后性,前者主要来自以核心城市为中心的产业圈辐射时间差,后者则由苏南到苏北在发展程度逐渐降低、边际向内部逐渐降低的滞后效应。This paper studied the development of ecology economy under the background of new urbanization.Taking Jiangsu Province as an example,it designed indexes and used Entropy method to calculate the total score of each area.It used Means method to make spatial clustering and calculate the lag effect and correlation of comprehensive scores on spatial econometric analysis.It got the conclusions as follows:1.With the increasing of per capita GDP and per capita park green area,the tertiary industry in GDP developed,and the third industry could increase green-economic score.2.The contribution of the disposable income of urban residents was low.Jiangsu Province mainly used traditional heavy industry to improve the livelihood of the people and economy,which was not conducive to the construction of green space.3.The development of green-economy had a certain hysteresis effect in time and space.

关 键 词：新型城镇化 绿地-经济发展模型 熵权法 K-MEANS聚类 空间计量 

分 类 号：F126[经济管理—世界经济]