摸准纳音:下一个疠气年为乙卯年  

Understand Na Yin thoroughly: Next plague year is year of Yi Mao(2035)

作　　者：刘晓燕[1] 靳九成[2,3,4] 谢雪姣 靳浩[6] 乔寅飞 尹勇 陈睿涵[8] LIU Xiao-yan;JIN Jiu-cheng;XIE Xue-jiao;JIN Hao;QIAO Yin-fei;YIN Yong;Audrey Tan Chay Hong(Beijing University of Chinese Medicine,Beijing 100029,China;Hunan University,Changsha 410082,China;Hunan Traditional Chinese Medicine Culture Research Base,Changsha 410208,China;Philosophy&Medicine Expert Committee of China Human Science Academic Society,Changsha 410082,China;Hunan University of Chinese Medicine,Changsha 410208,China;Sanofi,NJ 088077,USA;Hunan Academy of Chinese Medicine,Changsha 410006,China;Institute of Chinese Medical Studies,Singapore 388756,Singapore)

机构地区：[1]北京中医药大学,北京100029 [2]湖南大学,长沙410082 [3]湖南省中医药文化研究基地,长沙410208 [4]中国临床医学哲学研究会,长沙410082 [5]湖南中医药大学,长沙410208 [6]赛诺菲,新泽西088077 [7]湖南省中医药研究院,长沙410006 [8]新加坡中医学研究院,新加坡388756

出　　处：《中华中医药杂志》2021年第4期1836-1841,共6页China Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine and Pharmacy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(No.81973716);国家中医药管理局第四批全国中医(临床、基础)优秀人才研修项目;北京市中医药科技发展资金项目(No.JJ-2020-35);湖南省中医药管理局项目(No.2021114)。

摘　　要：笔者之前研究提出六曜论平气+"刚柔失守""三年化疫"判据,成功预测出己亥(2019)年为疠气年,并判定1个六十甲子至少有6个疠气年,依次为辛未、丁丑、癸未、癸巳、己亥、癸亥年。文章在论证时忽视了纳音五行在力度上的差别,致使在六曜论平气的推断上误将庚午、壬申、丙戌定为异气年,癸酉、乙卯定为平气年,导致疠气年认证有误。文章在之前六曜论平气的理论体系下,结合纳音五行的天文学背景,摸准纳音五行的力度,修正了之前研究对癸酉、乙卯等平年的认证,将1个六十甲子6个疠气年更正为丙子、癸未、癸巳、己亥、乙卯、癸亥年,首次提出下一个疠气年为乙卯(2035)年,并通过《娄景书》60年周期性疫情预测经验对其合理性进行了进一步研判。The authors’previous studies developed the methodology to predict plague years by using the criteria of Six Yao Evaluating Ping Qi,Gang Rou Shi Shou,and Three Years Change Plague.It forecasted the year of Ji Hai(2019)as a plague year successfully.Moreover,it concluded that 60 years as one Jia Zi would have at least six plague years,in the order of years of Xin Wei,Ding Chou,Gui Wei,Gui Si,Ji Hai,and Gui Hai.However,it ignored the difference in strength of the five elements of Na Yin,which resulted in some errors when predicting the future plague years.Building upon the theoretical system of Six Yao Evaluating Ping Qi of previous studies,this paper supplemented it with the astronomical background of Na Yin five elements and took the strength of Na Yin five elements into consideration.The prediction of plague years in the 60 years as one Jia Zi was updated as Bing Zi,Gui Wei,Gui Si,Ji Hai,Yi Mao,and Gui Hai.The year of Yi Mao(2035)will be the next plague year.The Lou Jing Shu’s 60 years as a cycle was also be discussed as an experience on plague to support the prediction.

关 键 词：纳音五行 六曜 平气 疠气 疫情 预测 天文 物理 

分 类 号：R22[医药卫生—中医基础理论]