战略性关键矿产资源可供性研究现状与展望  

Review of the Research on Strategic and Critical Mineral Resources Availability

作　　者：成金华[1,2] 刘凯雷 徐德义[1,2] 孔维成[1,2] CHENG Jin-hua;LIU Kai-lei;XU De-yi;KONG Wei-cheng(China University of Geosciences(Wuhan),Wuhan 430074,China)

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院,湖北武汉430074 [2]中国地质大学(武汉)资源环境经济研究中心,湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《河北地质大学学报》2021年第1期95-103,共9页Journal of Hebei Geo University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重大项目课题“新时代战略性关键矿产资源供给安全与管理政策”(71991482)。

摘　　要：论文从战略性关键矿产资源可供性影响因素、可供性分析方法、供给安全保障战略与政策研究三方面梳理了国内外的相关研究成果,其中可供性影响因素涵盖了地质因素、经济因素、技术因素和环境因素;可供性分析方法则包括了Hubbert峰值模型、矿产资源可供性系统(现金流折现法)、系统动力学、CAC曲线等;供给安全保障战略与政策包括矿产资源分类管理、通过市场合理利用境外矿产资源等。研究表明,未来应加强以下几个方面的工作:构建矿产资源地质-经济-技术-环境可供性综合评价模型;加强具有共伴生特征的矿产资源可供性研究;将二次供给也纳入矿产资源可供性研究对象;完善提高矿产资源持续供给能力的相关政策研究。This paper systemically reviews the relevant research on factors affecting strategic and critical mineral resources,availability analysis methods and supply security assurance strategy and policy.The factors include geological factors,economic factors,technical factors and environment factors.Mineral resources availability analysis methods include Hubbert peak model,mineral resources availability system(cash flow discount method),system dynamics,CAC curve,etc.Supply security assurance strategy and policy includes mineral resources classified management and use of overseas mineral resources through the market,etc.The research indicates that the following aspects should be strengthened in the future:build a comprehensive evaluation model of mineral resources availability from the dimensions of geology-economic-technical-environment;strengthen the study of co(by)-product mineral resources availability;incorporate the secondary supply into the research on mineral resources availability;improve the policy research on raising the supply of mineral resources.

关 键 词：战略性关键矿产 可供性分析 战略政策 研究综述 

分 类 号：P062.1[天文地球]