蒙自市空气污染扩散气象指数预报  

Forecast of Meteorological Condition Value of Air Pollution Diffusionin Mengzi City

作　　者：朱黎阳 郑舒天 杨舒杨 李自然 ZHU Li-yang(Meteorological Bureauof Honghe Prefecture,Mengzi,Yunnan 661100)

机构地区：[1]云南省红河州气象局,云南蒙自661100 [2]云南省文山州气象局,云南文山663000 [3]云南省文山州麻栗坡县气象局,云南麻栗坡663600 [4]云南省文山州广南县气象局,云南广南663300

出　　处：《农业灾害研究》2021年第1期88-89,共2页Journal of Agricultural Catastrophology

摘　　要：利用2018年国家基准观测站56985(蒙自,云南)地面资料、探空资料,分析蒙自市城市空气污染扩散特征。通过检验各要素(静稳天气指数计算因子)与空气质量指数的独立相关性,确定适用于空气污染扩散气象条件值预报的6个要素。通过各要素资料统计分析,找出线性回归方程,建立预报模型,制作可应用的预报软件。Using the ground data and sounding data from the National Reference Observatory 56985(Mengzi,Yunnan)in 2018,the characteristics of the urban air pollution diffusion in Mengzi City were analyzed.By examining the independent correlation between each element(calculation factor of the static and stable weather index)and the air quality index,six elements suitable for the forecast of the meteorological condition value of the air pollution diffusion are determined.Through the statistical analysis of each element data,find out the linear regression equation,establish the forecast model,and make the applicable forecast software.

关 键 词：空气污染扩散气象条件预报 空气质量指数 相关系数 线性回归 VisualStudio软件制作 

分 类 号：X16[环境科学与工程—环境科学]