加快服务业发展以促进我国产业转型升级的思考  

Reflections on Accelerating the Development of Service Industry to Promote China's Industrial transformation and upgrading

作　　者：李宁[1] LI Ning(Department of Logistics Management,School of Management,Dalian University of Finance and Economics,Dalian 116622,China)

机构地区：[1]大连财经学院管理学院物流管理系,辽宁大连116622

出　　处：《南昌师范学院学报》2021年第3期73-76,共4页Journal of Nanchang Normal University

基　　金：基于融合创新模式的辽宁省制造业转型升级的路径研究,辽宁省教育厅科学研究经费项目,编号:W2019163。

摘　　要：随着世界经济开始从“工业经济”逐渐调整为“服务经济”,服务业在经济发展中的地位日益上升。本文选取我国省级面板数据,通过建立固定效应模型探讨了服务业和产业升级。结果表明:(1)变量服务业的增加值、产业研发投入、外商投资、人力资本、资本投入的回归系数均为正,且通过显著性检验;变量外商投资和对外开放水平p值分别为2.013和1.038,没有通过显著性检验;(2)服务业的增加值每增加1个百分点,各产业部门产值就会增加0.564个百分点。虽然我国服务业发展尚处于较低的水平,但是整体上保持着较快的发展势头,对产业转型升级的贡献也越来越大。资本投入每增加1个百分点,各部门产值就会上升0.280个百分点,资本投入对产业转型升级有显著的促进作用;(3)产业研发投入和人力资本对产业转型升级的积极作用有限,可能是因为其由投入到完全转化为经济效益,中间存在一定的滞后性。Under the gradual transformation of the world economy fromanindustry-basedeconomy to service economy,the service industry is playing an increasingly ascending role in economic development.This paper selects China's provincial panel data to analyze the service industry and industrial upgrading by establishing a fixed-effect model.The results reveal that:(1)The increment of variable of service industry variable,regression coefficients of industrial R&D investment,foreign investment,human capital,and capital investment are all positive,which also have passed the significance test;the p-values of variables of foreign investment and opening-up level are 2.013 and 1.038 respectively,which have failed the significance test;(2)For every 1%increase in the increment of service industry,there will be an increase by 0.564%in each industrial sector.Although the development of China's service industry is still at a relatively low level,it maintains a fast development momentum overall and makes an increasing contribution to industrial transformation and upgrading.For every 1%increase in capital investment,the output value of each sector will increase by 0.280%.Capital investment can significantly promote industrial transformation and upgrading;(3)The positive effect of industrial R&D investment and human capital on industrial transformation and upgrading is limited,which probably because there is a certain lag between its input and its complete transformation into economic benefits.

关 键 词：服务业 产业转型升级 固定效应模型 资本投入 经济效益 滞后性 

分 类 号：F274[经济管理—企业管理]