小汽车通勤者出行时间风险态度的测度及影响因素  

Measurement and Influencing Factors of Risk Attitude to Travel Time of Car Commuters

作　　者：樊宇航 何明卫[1] 杨晓庆[1] FAN Yu-hang;HE Ming-wei;YANG Xiao-qing(Faculty of Transportation Engineering,Kunming University of Science and Technology,Kunming 650500,China)

机构地区：[1]昆明理工大学交通工程学院,云南昆明650500

出　　处：《物流工程与管理》2021年第7期109-112,共4页Logistics Engineering and Management

基　　金：云南省科技厅基础研究计划面上项目(202001AT070030)

摘　　要：出行者对出行时间的风险态度对交通行为和交通信息诱导等研究具有重要意义,因此以昆明市小汽车通勤者为研究对象,通过设计不同的出行情景对其出发时间选择进行测试,并在此基础上,建立了一种出行时间风险态度测度方法,对小汽车通勤者的出行时间风险态度进行了测度,最后进一步采用序次Logit模型分析了影响出行时间风险态度的因素。研究结果表明,绝大多数小汽车通勤者的出行时间预算大于路程平均行程时间,表现出风险规避,其性别、受教育程度、性别与受教育程度的交互项、家庭就业人数以及家中小孩情况对出行时间风险态度有显著影响。Traveler's risk attitude towards travel time is of great significance to the study of travel behavior and traffic information guidance strategies.Using the data from car commuters in Kunming,this study tested the choice of departure time by designing different travel scenarios.On this basis,a method for measuring travel time risk attitude wasestablished to measure the travel time risk attitude of car commuters.Furthermore,the influencing factors of the travel time risk attitude were identified based on ordered Logit model.The results demonstrate that the travel time budget of most car commuters is larger than the average travel time of the route,which shows risk aversion.Car commuters gender,education level,the interaction of gender and education,the number of household employees and children have a significant impact on the travel time risk attitude.

关 键 词：出行时间 风险态度 出发时间选择 序次Logit模型 小汽车通勤者 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]