全球价值链碳减排的门槛效应分析——以中美贸易隐含碳排放为例  

Research on the Threshold Effect of Value Chain Emission Reduction——Taking China and the US Embodied Carbon as an Example

作　　者：戴鋆 李晖[1] DAI Yun;LI Hui(College of Economics,Qingdao University.Qingdao 266061,China)

机构地区：[1]青岛大学经济学院,青岛266061

出　　处：《青岛大学学报（自然科学版）》2021年第3期118-125,共8页Journal of Qingdao University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：山东省社会科学规划研究项目(批准号:16DJJJ16)资助;青岛市博士后应用研究项目(批准号:2016038)资助。

摘　　要：利用WIOD数据库,在增加值分解的核算框架下测算2000—2014年中美贸易隐含碳排放量,在此基础上利用面板门槛模型量化分析全球价值链参与度对中美贸易隐含碳的影响。研究结果表明,中国对美国出口贸易隐含碳远高于美国对中国出口贸易隐含碳,且两国间相互出口贸易隐含碳主要集中在重制造业;中美两国全球价值链的参与度对两国间的出口贸易隐含碳排放都存在非线性影响,随着全球价值链参与度的变化,两模型呈现三门槛特征。中国应努力提升全球价值链地位,逐步扩大服务业出口贸易比重,推进低碳贸易发展。Based on the WIOD database,trade embodied carbon emissions of China-US from 2000 to 2014 is calculated by value-added decomposition framework,and the panel threshold model is used to analyze the impact of global value chain participation on the trade embodied carbon in China-US.The results show that the embodied carbon of China’s exports to the United States is much higher than that of the United States’exports to China,and the embodied carbon of the mutual export trade between the two countries is mainly concentrated in heavy manufacturing.The participation of China and the United States in the global value chain has a nonlinear effect on the trade embodied carbon emissions between the two countries.With the changes in the participation of the global value chain,the two models present three threshold characteristics.China should strive to improve its status in the global value chain,expand the proportion of service industry exports,and promote the development of low-carbon trade.

关 键 词：全球价值链 隐含碳排放 面板门槛模型 中美贸易 

分 类 号：X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学]