粤港澳大湾区中医药文化产业本地市场效应研究  

Research on the Home Market Effects of Traditional Chinese Medicine Culture Industry in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

作　　者：李建国[1] 曹越[2] 林婷婷 潘华峰[2] 张建华[2] LI Jianguo(Guangdong Research Center for TCM Service and Industrial Development,School of Economics and Management,Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine,Guangzhou,Guangdong,510006,China)

机构地区：[1]广州中医药大学广东省中医药健康服务与产业发展研究中心,广州中医药大学经济与管理学院,广东广州510006 [2]广州中医药大学,广东广州510006

出　　处：《医学与社会》2021年第8期17-21,共5页Medicine and Society

基　　金：2018年度广东省普通高校创新团队项目(人文社科),编号为2018WCXTD011;广州中医药历史文化研究基地基金资助项目,编号为201903;教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金资助项目,编号为19YJAZH043;广州中医药大学2020年度人文社科项目重点专项,编号为2020SKZD04。

摘　　要：目的:探讨粤港澳大湾区中医药文化产业是否具备本地市场效应。方法:基于引力模型和2000-2017年粤港澳大湾区中医药文化产业贸易数据,利用自回归条件异方差模型进行参数估计。结果:本地市场效应通过了显著性检验,粤港、粤澳、港澳之间的系数分别为0.2038、0.0531、0.1350。本地市场效应很大程度上决定粤港澳大湾区中医药文化产业贸易的相对规模,并逐渐取代资本和劳动力要素禀赋优势成为中医药文化产业贸易发展的新动力。结论:单纯依靠要素禀赋的传统优势推动贸易发展将难以为继,应该充分利用粤港澳大湾区中医药文化产业的本地市场效应,把粤港澳大湾区建设成为全国中医药文化产业的创新高地。Objective:To explore whether the Traditional Chinese Medicine(TCM)culture industry in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area has a home market effect.Methods:Based on the gravity model and the trade data of TCM culture industry in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area from 2000 to 2017,the autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model was used for parameter estimation.Results:The home market effects passed the significance test.The coefficients of Guangdong-Hong Kong,Guangdong-Macao and Hong Kong-Macao were 0.2038,0.0531 and 0.1350,respectively.The home market effects largely determined the relative scale of TCM culture industry trade in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area,and gradually replaced the capital and labor factor endowment advantages as a new source of the development of TCM culture industry trade.Conclusion:Relying solely on the traditional advantages of factor endowment to promote trade development will not be sustainable.It is necessary to make full use of the home market effects of the TCM culture industry in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and build the Greater Bay Area into an innovative highland for the national TCM culture industry.

关 键 词：中医药文化产业 本地市场效应 粤港澳大湾区 

分 类 号：R-012[医药卫生] R-05