中国经济要素的时变产出弹性及空间配置效应测度  

Measurement on Time-varying Output Elasticity and Spatial Allocation Effect of China’s Economic Factors

作　　者：马树才[1] 李亮 代金辉[2] 宋琪[1] Ma Shucai;Li Liang;Dai Jinhui;Song Qi(School of Economics,Liaoning University,Shenyang 110036,China;School of Mathematics and Information Science,Shandong Technology and Business University,Yantai Shandong 264005,China)

机构地区：[1]辽宁大学经济学院,沈阳110036 [2]山东工商学院数学与信息科学学院,山东烟台264005

出　　处：《统计与决策》2021年第15期87-91,共5页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(17YJC910001);山东工商学院财富管理特色项目(2019ZBKY098);山东工商学院博士科研启动基金(BS202011)。

摘　　要：文章运用时变参数状态空间模型,估算了1978—2018年我国30个省份的资本及劳动产出弹性系数,并在此基础上测度了我国生产要素的空间配置效应。结果显示:在我国经济增长过程中,劳动力的空间配置效应正在逐步优化,但配置不合理问题仍十分突出;资本要素配置合理化程度虽略优于劳动要素,但其不合理配置有进一步加剧的风险;全要素生产率空间配置效应有一定程度的改善,但配置有效性仍处低位水平。This paper uses the time-varying parameter state space model to estimate the elasticity coefficients of capital and labor output in 30 provinces of China from 1978 to 2018,and on this basis,measures the spatial allocation effect of China’s production factors.The results show that in the process of economic growth in China,the spatial allocation effect of labor force is being gradually optimized,but the problem of unreasonable allocation is still serious,that although the rationalization degree of the capital factor allocation is slightly better than that of labor factors,the unreasonable allocation has the risk of further aggravation,and that the spatial allocation effect of total factor productivity has been improved to a certain extent,but the allocation efficiency is still at a low level.

关 键 词：时变参数 生产要素 配置效应 

分 类 号：F22[经济管理—国民经济]