供应中断风险下制造商应对策略研究  

Manufacturer’s coping strategies under supply interruption risk

作　　者：孔进 李芳[1] KONG Jin;LI Fang(Business School,University of Shanghai for Science and Technology,Shanghai 200093,China)

机构地区：[1]上海理工大学管理学院,上海200093

出　　处：《上海理工大学学报》2021年第4期409-420,共12页Journal of University of Shanghai For Science and Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71840003);上海市软科学研究重点项目(19692104000)。

摘　　要：为分析制造商对于供应中断的应对策略,对2个制造商、2个供应商组成的时间敏感性供应链进行研究,其中供应商A存在中断风险,制造商1可以选择是否对供应商A进行援助,制造商2既可以选择采用备用供应商B,也可以选择供应商A并选择是否采取援助,在此基础上建立了6个制造商1和制造商2策略组合的决策模型,采用博弈论分析法求得各均衡解,并进行数值算例分析,结果表明:2个制造商对于供应中断应对策略的最优选择受彼此影响,同时2个制造商中某一方或两方同时采取援助措施时,仅援助力度大于阈值时才能有效帮助供应中断恢复,当2个制造商均选择援助策略时,供应中断恢复时间最短。In order to study the manufacturer’s coping strategy to supply interruption,the time-sensitive supply chain composed of two manufacturers and two suppliers was studied.Among them,supplier A had the risk of interruption,and manufacturer 1 could choose whether to assist supplier A,and manufacturer 2 can choose to adopt alternate supplier B and selected supplier A and chose whether to take assistance.On this basis,the decision-making model of the strategy c combination of 6 manufacturer 1 and 2 was established.The balanced solution is obtained by the game theory analysis and numerical study analysis is performed.The results show that the optimal coping strategy for the supply interruption of two manufacturers is affected by each other.While one or both of the two manufacturers take assistance measures at the same time,only when the aid strength is greater than the threshold,supply interruption can be effectively recovered.When both manufacturers choose the aid strategy,the recovery time for supply interruption is the shortest.

关 键 词：供应中断 采购策略 制造商 期望利润方程 

分 类 号：F274[经济管理—企业管理]