物流业与制造业协同集聚对经济高质量发展的影响--基于283个地级以上城市的实证分析  

The Influence of Collaborative Agglomeration of Logistics Industry and Manufacturing Industry on High-quality Economic Development--the Empirical Research on 283 Cities at the Prefecture Level and Above

作　　者：刘明[1] LIU Ming(School of Business and Tourism Management,Yunnan University,Kunming 650091,Yunnan,China)

机构地区：[1]云南大学工商管理与旅游管理学院,云南昆明650091

出　　处：《中国流通经济》2021年第9期22-31,共10页China Business and Market

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“中国城市群的溢出效应时空演变与战略深化研究”(18CJY013);云南省社会科学基金项目“自贸区建设背景下云南省物流产业的空间重构与政策创新研究”(YB2020047)。

摘　　要：利用2007—2019年我国283个地级以上城市的面板数据,采用主成分分析法构建经济高质量发展指标体系并进行相关测度,进而使用系统GMM模型以及面板门槛模型探讨物流业与制造业协同集聚对经济高质量发展线性及非线性的影响。结果表明:在全样本下,物流业与制造业协同集聚对经济高质量发展具有显著正向影响;在分地区区位和城市规模样本下,其影响则呈现出较强的区域异质性和规模异质性,东部、中部城市存在显著促进作用,而西部城市则存在显著抑制作用,大、中型城市表现为显著促进作用,小型城市则作用不显著;且物流业与制造业协同集聚对经济高质量发展存在显著门槛效应,说明只有跨越低水平门槛将物流业与制造业协同集聚推向更高水平,才能真正释放集聚效能并作用于经济高质量发展,也进一步验证了物流业与制造业深度融合发展的正确性、必要性与迫切性。因此,必须持续推进物流业与制造业的融合深度,注重协同集聚质量,充分挖掘物流人才潜能,如此才能真正推动经济转向高质量发展轨道。Using the panel data of 283 cities at the prefecture level and above in China from 2007 to 2019 and the principal component analysis,the author constructs a high-quality economic development indicator system to measure the level of high quality economic development;and the author also uses the system GMM model and the panel threshold model to explore the linear and non-linear influence of collaborative agglomeration of logistics industry and manufacturing industry on high-quality economic development.Relevant empirical research shows that:in the full sample,the collaborative agglomeration of logistics industry and manufacturing industry has a significant positive impact on the high-quality economic development;in the sample of sub-regional location and city size,its impact shows strong regional and scale differences.The eastern and central cities have a significant promoting effect,while the western cities have a significant inhibitory effect;large and medium-sized cities have a significant promoting effect,and small cities have an insignificant effect.Moreover,the coordinative agglomeration of logistics industry and manufacturing industry has a significant threshold effect on the high-quality economic development.It shows that only by surpassing the low-level threshold and pushing the collaborative agglomeration of logistics industry and manufacturing industry to a higher level can the agglomeration efficiency be truly released and the role of that in high-quality economic development be truly demonstrated.It also further verifies the correctness,necessity,and urgency of the deep integrated development of logistics industry and manufacturing industry.So we must continuously promote the deep integration of logistics industry and manufacturing industry,pay more attention to the quality of collaborative agglomeration,and fully explore the potential of logistic talents to really promote the economic transformation to the high-quality development.

关 键 词：物流业 制造业 协同集聚 高质量发展 

分 类 号：F276[经济管理—企业管理]