环境规制与工业就业关系研究——基于西北经济区地级市数据的实证分析  

A study of environmental regulation and industrial employment

作　　者：赵领娣[1,2] 呼玉莹 王海霞 ZHAO Lingdi;HU Yuying;WANG Haixia(School of Economics,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100;Institute of Marine Development of OUC,Key Research Base of Humanities and Social Sciences of Ministry of Education,Qingdao 266100;School of Mathematics and Systems Science,Shandong University of Science and Technology,Qingdao 266590,China)

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学经济学院,青岛266100 [2]教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地,中国海洋大学海洋发展研究院,青岛266100 [3]山东科技大学数学与系统科学学院,青岛266590

出　　处：《干旱区资源与环境》2021年第9期9-13,共5页Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(71974176,71473233)资助。

摘　　要：首次聚焦于生态脆弱的西北经济区,使用2004-2017年37个地级市数据,借助GMM和中介效应模型,探讨环境规制对工业就业的影响及内在传导机制。结果表明:该地区环境规制与工业就业存在先抑制后促进的U型动态关系,当前规制强度处在曲线的下降阶段,短期内规制力度的加大不利于释放就业"福利";与高污染地区相比,低污染地区环境规制强度更接近曲线拐点,容易跨过拐点获得工业就业"福利";生产成本和技术创新作为中介变量在环境规制影响工业就业时起抑制作用,尚未能释放就业"福利"。Focusing on the ecologically fragile northwest economic zone for the first time,we used the data of 37 prefecture level cities from 2004 to 2017 to explore the impact of environmental regulation on industrial employment and its internal transmission mechanism with the help of GMM and intermediary effect model.It’s found that there is a U-shaped dynamic relationship between environmental regulation and industrial employment in the region.The current regulation intensity is in descending phase which means that the strengthening of it will bring about employment loss.Compared with high-pollution areas,intensity of environmental regulation in low pollution areas is closer to the inflection point of the curve,which is easier to obtain industrial employment welfare.Production cost and technological innovation,as inhibitory roles,are not conducive to the release of employment welfare.

关 键 词：工业就业 环境规制 GMM 中介效应模型 异质性 

分 类 号：X32[环境科学与工程—环境工程]