环境能源约束下的长三角区域煤电行业排放绩效和“十四五”控排策略研究  

Study on the emission performance and the emission control strategy of the 14th Five-Year Plan of the coal power industry in the Yangtze River Delta under the restriction of environment and energy

作　　者：戴洁[1] 桑妲 胡静[1,3] 励刚 张啸虎 DAI Jie;SANG Da;HU Jing;LI Gang;ZHANG Xiaohu(Shanghai Academy of Environmental Sciences,Shanghai 200233,China;East China Branch of State Grid Corporation of China,Shanghai 200120,China;State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of the Cause and Prevention of Lrban Air Pollution Complex,Shanghai 200233,China)

机构地区：[1]上海市环境科学研究院,上海200233 [2]国家电网公司华东分部,上海200120 [3]国家环境保护城市大气复合污染成因与防治重点实验室,上海200233

出　　处：《环境与可持续发展》2021年第4期70-77,共8页Environment and Sustainable Development

基　　金：国家重点研发计划“大气污染成因与控制技术研究”课题六“长三角区域空气质量改善路线图细化和实施方案研究”(No.2016YFC0207506);上海市环保科研项目“长三角区域污染防治协作机制及路径优化研究”(沪环科[2019]第17号);国家电网公司华东分部2018年课题“长三角地区电力行业减排绩效及发展前景研究”。

摘　　要：燃煤发电是长三角区域目前最主要的电力来源之一,但同时其污染物排放和碳排放等也带来了一系列环境问题。本文利用情景分析法,对长三角区域煤电行业"十四五"污染物排放和碳排放进行了预测分析。结果显示:长三角区域煤电机组传统污染物如SO2、NOx及颗粒物控制已取得显著成效,碳排放(或煤炭消费)总量控制将成为长三角区域煤电机组发展的主要限制因素。碳排放权交易可为新增碳排放指标提供一定的缓解出口,但新增煤耗指标的来源尚不明确,难以获取。建议煤电行业密切关注近期碳排放达峰和远期碳中和要求,以长三角区域一体化国家战略实施为契机,全区域、多方位统筹协调,严格控制新增项目排放增量、充分挖掘现有项目减量排放潜力,实现行业绿色发展。Coal power industry is the most important power source in the Yangtze River Delta region.However, the pollutants emission and the carbon emission also bring a series of environmental problems.In this study, scenario analysis method is used to predict and analyze the pollutants emission and the carbon emission of coal power industry of the 14 th Five-Year Plan in the Yangtze River Delta.The results show that remarkable achievements have been made in the control of traditional pollutants such as SO2,NOx and particulate matter of coal-fired power units in the Yangtze River Delta region, while the total amount control of carbon emissions(or coal consumption) may become the main factor of coal-fired power units.Carbon emission trading can provide some carbon emission index for new coal power plants, but the coal consumption index is difficult to obtain.It is suggested that the coal power industry should pay close attention to carbon emission peak in the near future and carbon neutralization requirements in the long term, take the opportunity of the implementation of the national strategy of regional integration in the Yangtze River Delta, regard the region as a whole to strictly control the emission increment of new projects, fully tap the emission reduction of existing projects, and finally realize the green development.

关 键 词：煤电 “十四五” 污染物排放 碳排放 

分 类 号：X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学] X32