中国自有住房服务产出估算  被引量:1

Estimation of Owner-occupied Housing Service Output in China

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作  者:李芳芝[1] 张焕明[1] Li Fangzhi;Zhang Huanming(School of Statistics and Applied Mathematics,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu Anhui 233030,China)

机构地区:[1]安徽财经大学统计与应用数学学院,安徽蚌埠233030

出  处:《统计与决策》2021年第17期40-45,共6页Statistics & Decision

基  金:国家社会科学基金青年项目(16CTJ008);安徽省高校人文社会科学研究重大项目(SK2020ZD004);安徽省高校优秀拔尖人才培育资助项目(gxyqZD2019030)。

摘  要:文章根据使用成本法重新估算中国2004—2019年自有住房服务折算租金,并进一步分析了自有住房服务折算租金的调整对国民经济主要核算指标的影响。研究发现:调整后自有住房折算租金占GDP的比重近年来维持在6.5%~8%;居民居住支出占消费支出的比重明显提高,近几年均超过了30%;调整后的居住支出占GDP的比重在2019年接近13%;居民消费支出占GDP的比重调整后与调整前相比增加幅度较小;2019年房地产业增加值调整后占GDP的比重高达10.93%。自有住房服务产出估算结果的调整对城镇居民消费支出的影响明显,城镇居民人均居住水平调整后比调整前增加1倍左右,人均消费支出调整前后的增加幅度相对较小;近年来城镇居民居住支出占消费支出的比重调整后维持在30%以上。This paper is based on the user cost method to re-estimate the converted rents of owner-occupied housing services in China from 2004 to 2019, and further analyzes the impact of the converted rent adjustment of owner-occupied housing services on the main accounting indicators of the national economy. The research findings are as follows: The proportion of adjusted converted rent of owner-occupied housing to GDP has been maintained at 6.5%~8% in recent years. The proportion of residential expenditure in consumption expenditure has increased significantly, exceeding 30% in recent years. The adjusted housing expenditure as a share of GDP was close to 13% in 2019. The proportion of household consumption expenditure in GDP increased slightly after adjustment compared with that before adjustment. In 2019, the added value of the real estate industry accounted for10.93% of GDP after adjustment. The adjustment of estimation results of owner-occupied housing service output has a significant impact on urban residents’ consumption expenditure. After adjustment, the per capita living level of urban residents is about twice that before adjustment, while the increase of per capita consumption expenditure before and after adjustment is relatively small. In recent years, the proportion of urban residents’ housing expenditure in consumption expenditure has been adjusted to stay above 30%.

关 键 词:自有住房服务产出 建筑成本法 使用成本法 

分 类 号:F222.33[经济管理—国民经济]

 

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