高速鱼雷攻击水面舰艇突防概率仿真计算  

Simulation Calculation of Penetration Probability of High Speed Torpedo Attacking Surface Ship

作　　者：王金云 WANG Jin-yun(Key Laboratory of Dual Medium Power Technology, Handan 056017,China)

机构地区：[1]双介质动力技术重点实验室,河北邯郸056017

出　　处：《指挥控制与仿真》2021年第5期46-50,共5页Command Control & Simulation

基　　金：中央引导地方科技发展基金项目(216Z4601G);河北省重点研发计划(21313501D)。

摘　　要：鱼雷武器可对敌方水面舰艇形成巨大威慑,能否有效突破其防御系统是研究问题的关键,基于蒙特卡洛法,分别仿真计算了鱼雷对两种反鱼雷鱼雷(ATT)直接拦截弹道和提前角拦截弹道的突防概率。模拟了高速/超高速鱼雷在两种不同作战模式及不同敌我态势下的突防概率。结果表明,对抗条件下,攻击鱼雷速度提高至200 kn,敌我鱼雷速度比为0.25时,突防概率达到100%,超高速鱼雷具有绝对的突防优势和极高的突防概率。该研究可为水下兵器打击水面舰艇作战效能分析提供理论参考。Torpedo weapon can form a huge deterrent to enemy surface ships,and whether it can effectively penetrate its defense system is the key to the research problem.In this study,the penetration probability of torpedo against two kinds of ATT direct interception trajectory and advance angle interception trajectory is studied respectively based on Monte Carlo method.The penetration probability of high-speed/super high-speed torpedo under two different operation modes and different situation between enemy and ourselves is simulated.The results show that under the condition of confrontation,the penetration probability reaches 100%when the attack torpedo speed is increased to 200 kn and the speed ratio between the enemy and our torpedo is 0.25.The ultra high speed torpedo has absolute penetration advantage and high penetration probability.This research can provide theoretical reference for the analysis of combat effectiveness of underwater weapons attacking surface ships.

关 键 词：高速鱼雷 反鱼雷鱼雷拦截 突防概率 数学建模 仿真计算 

分 类 号：TJ63[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程] E925[军事—军事装备学]