陕南气候变化风险应对感知的影响路径研究  

Study on impact path of climate change risk response perception in southern Shaanxi

作　　者：薛斯文 周旗[1] XUE Si-wen;ZHOU Qi(College of Geography and Environment,Baoji University of Arts and Science,Baoji 721013,Shaanxi,China)

机构地区：[1]宝鸡文理学院地理与环境学院,陕西宝鸡721013

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2021年第18期185-192,216,共9页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41771215);国家自然科学基金项目(41071359);陕西省科技统筹创新工程计划项目(KTCL03-17);国家社会科学基金项目(07XZ2006)。

摘　　要：运用819份陕南调查数据,建立了结构方程模型,对陕南气候变化风险应对感知的影响因素及作用路径进行分析。结果表明,气候变化效果感知、人地观念、文化程度、气候变化问题关心度、产业结构调整感知影响应对状况感知;民众的人地观念、风险观念通过影响气候变化原因感知进而影响民众对气候变化应对状况的感知;人地观念、风险观念影响气候变化原因感知;陕南地区气候变化风险应对感知相关路径有19条,因果路径有9条。路径模型有空间差异,汉中市和商洛市表现出的是无中介的路径模型,而安康市则呈现有中介的路径模型,并与陕南地区整体表达一致。基于地理探测器和结构方程模型路径探究影响陕南地区气候变化风险感知的关键因素,提出了提高民众气候变化风险应对感知水平的建议。Based on 819 survey data of Southern Shaanxi,the structural equation model was established to analyze the influencing factors and action paths of climate change risk response perception in Southern Shaanxi.The results showed that perception of climate change effect,human-earth concept,education level,climate change concern degree,perception of industrial structure adjustment impacted response status.People’s concept of man-land and risk affect people’s perception of climate change response by influencing their perception of the causes of climate change.There were 19 pathways and 9 causal pathways for climate change risk response in Southern Shaanxi.The path model was spatially different.The unmediated path model was showed in Hanzhong city and Shangluo city,the mediated path model was showed in Ankang city,which was consistent with the whole Southern Shaanxi region.Based on the geographical detector and structural equation model path,the key factors influencing climate change risk perception in Southern Shaanxi were explored,some suggestions were put forward to improve the level of climate change risk response perception.

关 键 词：陕南 气候变化 风险应对感知 影响路径 影响因素 

分 类 号：X43[环境科学与工程—灾害防治]