中国新经济的逻辑、综合测度及区域差异研究  

Research on Logic,Comprehensive Measurement and Regional Differences of China’s New Economy

作　　者：钞小静[1,2] 薛志欣 王宸威 Chao Xiaojing;Xue Zhixin;Wang Chenwei(School of Economics and Management,Northwest University;Western China Economic Development Research Center,Northwest University)

机构地区：[1]西北大学经济管理学院 [2]西北大学中国西部经济发展研究院

出　　处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2021年第10期3-23,共21页Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

基　　金：陕西省社会科学基金项目(2019D018);陕西省教育厅重点科学研究计划项目(20JT066)的资助。

摘　　要：研究目标:探讨中国新经济的理论逻辑、综合测度与区域差异。研究方法:采用"熵值—TOPSIS"法从整体和地区两个层级测度2013~2018年中国新经济的发展水平,利用Kernel密度估计、Moran’s I指数和Markov链刻画其时空演进趋势,使用"五级分类法—非劣解交集法"、Dagum基尼系数及空间收敛模型分析其区域差异。研究发现:中国新经济发展总体呈现平稳上升趋势,在2016年后各省份出现明显的梯度差异;各省份的新经济发展存在显著的空间依存性,新经济发展水平越低的省份发生向上转移的概率越高;新经济发展水平的区域间差异高于区域内差异,且超变密度的贡献起主导作用;七大区域内部存在显著的绝对β收敛和条件β收敛特征,除华中、西南地区外其他区域还具有显著的σ收敛特征。研究创新:基于全局与局域视角对中国新经济发展水平进行研究,从时间和空间维度刻画了中国新经济的动态分布特征,并进行了系统的区域差异分析。研究价值:拓展了中国新经济的定量研究,为加快发展新经济提供决策参考。Research Objectives:To explore the theoretical logic,statistical measures and regional differences of China’s new economy.Research Methods:The"entropy-TOPSIS"method is used to measure the development level of China’s new economy from 2013 to 2018 at the whole and regional levels,and the spatial-temporal evolution trend is described by using Kernel density estimation,Moran’s I index and Markov chain.The regional differences were analyzed by using the"five-level taxonomy-non-inferior solution intersection method",the Dagum Gini coefficient and the spatial convergence model.Research Findings:The overall development of China’s new economy presents a steady upward trend,and there is an obvious gradient difference among provinces after 2016.The new economic development of various provinces has significant spatial dependence,and the lower the new economic development level,the upward shift of provinces The higher the probability of,the higher the inter-regional difference in the level of new economic development is higher than the intra-regional difference,and the contribution of hypervariable density is dominant.There are significant characteristics of absoluteβconvergence and conditionalβconvergence in the seven regions,and there are also significant characteristics ofσconvergence in other regions except Central China and Southwest China.Research Innovations:Based on the global and local perspectives,this paper studies the development level of China’s new economy,describes the dynamic distribution characteristics of China’s new economy from the time and space dimensions,and makes a systematic analysis of regional differences.Research Value:Expand the quantitative research of China’s new economy,and provide decision-making reference for accelerating the development of the new economy.

关 键 词：新经济 理论逻辑 时空演进 区域差异 

分 类 号：F062.5[经济管理—政治经济学]