基于碳减排路径潜力测算的乘用车积分政策导向研究  

Research on the Policy Orientation of the Dual-Credit Policy based on Potential Measurement of Carbon Reduction Paths

作　　者：任焕焕[1] 李曜明 丛龙泽 吕力[1] Ren Huanhuan;Li Yaoming;Cong Longze;Lv Li(China Automotive Technology and Research Center Co.,Ltd.,Tianjin 300300)

机构地区：[1]中国汽车技术研究中心有限公司,天津3OO3OO

出　　处：《中国汽车》2021年第9期17-22,共6页China Auto

摘　　要：在气候变化和能源安全背景下,面向碳达峰和碳中和目标,全球汽车行业加速向清洁化转型。双积分政策自2017年发布以来,在促进我国节能与新能源汽车发展方面取得了良好的效果,未来需要长期坚持并持续完善。为了明确未来积分政策的导向,本文首先对汽车产业碳排放管理政策手段进行对比指出双积分政策的优势所在,并通过构建汽车碳排测算模型,定量评估不同阶段汽车能耗水平(含油耗和电耗)、新能源推广、电力清洁化三类因素的减排贡献,从而识别出双积分政策短期和长期的重点管控目标。基于上述结果,本文提出了未来乘用车双积分管理办法方向建议,为后期政策进一步完善提供借鉴。Climate change and energy security are driving the global auto industry to accelerate its shift to electrification with a view to achieving carbon peak and neutrality targets. The dual-credit policy, which has greatly promoted the development of energy-saving and new energy vehicles since its release in 2017, needs to be adhered to and continuously improved in the future. In order to clarify the policy orientation, this paper first compared the carbon emission management policies and pointed out the advantages of the dual-credit policy. To identify the short-term and long-term key management goals of the dual-credit policy, the vehicle carbon emission measurement model was built to quantitatively evaluate the impact of three factors on emission reduction, including the energy consumption levels of vehicles(including fuel consumption and electricity consumption), the promotion of new energy vehicles, and the emission reduction contribution.Based on the above results, the adjustment orientation of the dual-credit policy was proposed, which can provide a reference for the further improvement of later policies.

关 键 词：双积分政策 碳减排路径 潜力测算 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]