创新数量、创新质量与数字贸易发展研究  

Innovation Quantity,Innovation Quality and Digital Trade Development

作　　者：周广澜[1] 俞立平 ZHOU Guanglan;YU Liping(School of Modern Business Centre,Zhejiang Gongshang University,Hangzhou,Zhejiang 310018,China;School of Statistics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310018, China)

机构地区：[1]浙江工商大学现代商贸中心,浙江杭州31001 [2]浙江工商大学统计学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《中州大学学报》2021年第5期18-25,共8页Journal of Zhongzhou University

基　　金：全国统计科学研究项目(2020LY102);杭州市哲学社会科学规划课题(Z21JC096);国家留学基金委高等学校青年骨干教师出国研修项目(202009545007);中国(杭州)跨境电商学院资助项目(2021KXYJ04);浙江工商大学研究生院项目(YJG2021219,YJG2018306)。

摘　　要：中国经济发展进入新常态,在普惠贸易环境下伴随着大量中小微企业涌入数字贸易产业链。这就迫切需要发展方式向自主创新型的高端价值链转变。因此,研究创新数量、创新质量与数字贸易互动机制具有重要意义。采用面板数据模型、贝叶斯向量自回归模型分析了创新数量、创新质量与数字贸易的互动关系。研究结果表明:创新数量与数字贸易之间呈现良性互动;尽管创新质量对数字贸易短期作用较低,但对数字贸易长期发展潜力有较大的促进作用;创新数量、创新质量之间具有一定的良性互动关系。China’s economic development has entered a new normal,with a large number of small and medium-sized enterprises entering into the digital trade under the environment of inclusive trade.It is necessary to shift China’s development mode towards the innovation and high value chain.Therefore,it is of great significance to study the interactive mechanism of innovation quantity,innovation quality and digital trade.This paper uses panel data model and Bayesian vector autoregressive model to analyze the interactive relationship between innovation quantity,innovation quality and digital trade.The outcome indicates that there is a positive interaction between innovation quantity and digital trade.Although the short-term effect of innovation quality on digital trade is low,it has a greater role in promoting the long-term development potential of digital trade.Furthermore,there is a certain positive interaction between innovation quantity and innovation quality.

关 键 词：创新数量 创新质量 数字贸易 产业链 面板数据 

分 类 号：F273.1[经济管理—企业管理]