不利外部冲击下我国供应链韧性分析  

Analysis of Chinese Supply Chain Resilience under Adverse External Shock

作　　者：廖涵[1] 胡晓蕾 刘素倩 Liao Han;Hu Xiaolei;Liu Suqian

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学经济学院,湖北武汉430000

出　　处：《企业经济》2021年第10期50-59,共10页Enterprise Economy

摘　　要：打造具有韧性、安全、稳定和畅通的供应链体系已成为诸多国家的重要战略目标。本文从供应链韧性角度考察供应链安全问题,讨论了供应链韧性的概念及测度,以不利外部冲击下的供应链受损程度、恢复程度以及恢复时间来识别供应链韧性。在此基础上,基于WIOD的ICIO表,本文从中间品贸易视角测度了我国总体及部门层面的供应链对外依存度和供应链韧性。结果发现:我国供应链在进口端以及工业品部门高度依赖国外,容易面临供应链风险,但整体上比其他国家的供应链具有更强的韧性。据此提出以下对策建议:建立政府和企业联动的供应链安全管理体制;以核心技术创新促进供应链自主可控;拓宽国内市场以内循环增强供应链韧性。Creating a resilient, secure, stable and smooth supply chain system has become an important strategic goal for countries around the world. This paper examines supply chain security from the perspective of supply chain resilience and discusses the concept and measurement of supply chain resilience, and identifies the supply chain resilience by the degree of damage, degree of recovery and time of recovery under adverse external shocks. Based on the WIOD Inter-country Input-Output tables, the paper measures the overall and departmental supply chain external dependence and supply chain resilience of China from the perspective of intermediate product trade. The results show that, China’s supply chain is highly dependent on foreign countries on the import side as well as in the industrial goods sector, and is vulnerable to supply chain risks, but on the whole, it has stronger resilience than the supply chain of other countries. Accordingly, the following countermeasures and suggestions are put forward: establishing a supply chain security management system with government and enterprise linkage, promoting the independent and controllable supply chain with core technology innovation, and broadening the domestic market to enhance the supply chain resilience through internal circulation.

关 键 词：供应链韧性 不利外部冲击 对外依存度 恢复程度 

分 类 号：F274[经济管理—企业管理]