黄河流域旅游城市交通可达性与旅游经济联系动态演变研究——以青岛为例  被引量:6

A Study on the Dynamic Evolution of Traffic Accessibility and Tourism Economy in Tourist Cities in the Yellow River Basin—A Case Study of Qingdao

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作  者:王新越[1,2] 刘晓艳 Wang Xinyue;Liu Xiaoyan(College of Management,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,China;Institute of Marine Development,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,China)

机构地区:[1]中国海洋大学管理学院,山东青岛266100 [2]中国海洋大学海洋发展研究院,山东青岛266100

出  处:《中国海洋大学学报(社会科学版)》2021年第6期61-71,共11页Journal of Ocean University of China(Social Sciences)

基  金:国家社会科学基金项目“重大危机事件冲击下中国旅游经济韧性机制及治理策略研究”(21BJY202);文化和旅游部2019年度文化艺术和旅游研究项目“新时代背景下我国文化和旅游质量评价与高质量发展路径研究”(19DY13);山东省哲学社会科学规划项目“乡村振兴战略背景下山东省乡村旅游高质可持续发展研究”(19CQXJ13);青岛市社会科学规划项目“交通网络视角下青岛市引领黄河流域旅游合作研究”(QDSKL2001001)。

摘  要:推动交通与旅游经济良好互动发展,对青岛发挥交通和旅游资源优势带动黄河流域城市旅游发展合作,加速黄河流域经济高质量发展具有重要意义。对2010—2019年青岛与黄河流域主要旅游城市间的交通可达性和旅游经济联系进行测度,并采用VAR模型研究二者的动态关系,结果表明:青岛与黄河流域旅游城市间的交通可达性水平大幅提升,2010—2019年10年间可达性提升了43.08%,所产生的时空压缩、区位叠加效应愈发显著;旅游经济联系总量增幅明显,旅游经济联系极化态势较为突出,青岛与兰州、晋中、宝鸡等中西部旅游城市的旅游经济联系度增长率呈跨越式提升;交通可达性和旅游经济联系存在长期均衡关系并互为格兰杰因果关系,交通可达性和旅游经济联系的发展互为促进;由脉冲响应函数分析结果可知,交通可达性水平提升的稳定性是由自身结构和旅游经济联系两者共同影响的,旅游经济联系变化的稳定性前期主要由自身结构和交通可达性共同影响,后期主要依赖于其自身结构的升级。最后,提出青岛推动黄河流域旅游城市交通可达性与旅游经济联系协调发展的针对性建议。Promoting the interactive development of transportation and tourism economy is of great significance for Qingdao to make best of its advantages of transportation and tourism resources to promote cooperation of tourism development among cities in the Yellow River Basin and accelerate the high-quality development of economy in the Yellow River Basin.The paper measures the traffic accessibility and tourism economic relationship between Qingdao and major tourist cities in the Yellow River Basin from 2010 to 2019,and uses VAR model to study the dynamic relationship between them.The results show that the transport accessibility between Qingdao and tourism cities in the Yellow River Basin has been greatly improved,with an increase of 43.08%from 2010 to 2019,resulting in more significant synergistic effects of spatial-temporal compression and location.The growth rate of tourism economic contact of Qingdao,Lanzhou,Jinzhong,Baoji and other tourist cities in the central and western regions showed a leapfrogging increase.There is a long-term harmonious relationship between transport accessibility and tourism economic contact,and their development helps each other forward.According to the analysis results of impulse response function,the stability of transportation accessibility improvement is influenced by both its own structure and tourism economic contact.The stability of the change of tourism economic contact is mainly influenced by its own structure and traffic accessibility in the early stage,and mainly depends on its own structure upgrading in the later stage.Finally,the authors make some suggestions that Qingdao should promote the coordinated development of traffic accessibility and tourism economy in tourist cities in the Yellow River Basin.

关 键 词:交通可达性 旅游经济联系 VAR模型 青岛 

分 类 号:F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]

 

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