中国木材市场监测指标体系构建实践  

Establishment Practice on the Monitoring Indicators System of China's Timber Market

作　　者：李剑泉[1] 李林蓓 郭慧敏 LI Jianquan;LI Linbei;GUO Huimin(Research Institute of Forestry Policy and Information,Chinese Academy of Forestry,Beijing 100091,China)

机构地区：[1]中国林业科学研究院林业科技信息研究所,北京100091

出　　处：《林业经济问题》2022年第1期54-62,共9页Issues of Forestry Economics

基　　金：中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金项目(CAFYBB2019MB002)。

摘　　要：基于9个省域11个木材市场的调研数据,并结合已有文献中的研究成果,从市场监测角度出发,应用信息科学理论分析木材市场影响因素并构建监测指标体系。结果表明:影响木材市场运行的外部因素有4个方面23个主要指标,内在因素有9个方面59个主要指标;内在因素中能够持续反映和左右木材市场监测并构成指标体系的有4个方面25个具体指标,可为木材市场监测系统平台开发提供参考依据、市场行情分析奠定参数基础;同时,决定市场信息采集的核心指标有13个,这为采集模板设计和市场数据获取提供了基本遵循。⑴Background——China's timber market has developed rapidly since the beginning of the new century.However,China's timber market monitoring information collection lacks a unified standard,which seriously affects the market monitoring ability and level.⑵Methods——From 2016 to 2020,we conduct field research,information collection,and data verification in 11 key timber markets in 9 provinces,a total of 13,267 records of timber product market transaction data have been recorded.Based on these research data and literature results,from the perspective of market monitoring,the application of information science theories and indicator screening,market surveys and expert consultation methods are used to analyze the factors affecting the timber market and build a monitoring indicator system.⑶Results——The external factors that affect the operation of the timber market include 23 main indicators in four aspects:economic development,laws and regulations,social population,and the international environment.The internal factors include 59 main indicators in 9 aspects:market supply,market demand,market entities,transaction objects,transaction prices,and transaction status,market location,transaction time and market management;internal factors that can continuously reflect and influence the timber market monitoring and constitute an indicator system include 4 aspects,transaction time,transaction location,transaction products and transaction information.The 4 aspects cover 25 specific indicators,a certain date,the administrative area,the trading place,the source of wood,the name of the wood species,the product type,the product grade,the product specification,the total inventory,the stock capital,the total purchase,the purchase price,the total purchase value,the supply volume,total sold,selling price,total selling value,selling on provincial city,provincial sales,balance,gross profit,selling rate,gross profit rate,transaction volume,and transaction amount,which can provide a reference basis for the development of the t

关 键 词：木材市场 监测指标 信息采集 行情分析 

分 类 号：F713.52[经济管理—市场营销]