科技创新、产业结构升级与碳排放效率——基于省际面板数据的PVAR分析  

Technological innovation, industrial structure upgrading and carbon emissions efficiency:An analysis based on PVAR model of panel data at provincial level

作　　者：刘志华 徐军委 张彩虹[1] LIU Zhi-hua;XU Jun-wei;ZHANG Cai-hong(School of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China;School of Economics and Management,China University of Labor Relations,Beijing 100048,China)

机构地区：[1]北京林业大学经济管理学院,北京100083 [2]中国劳动关系学院经济管理学院,北京100048

出　　处：《自然资源学报》2022年第2期508-520,共13页Journal of Natural Resources

基　　金：北京市社会科学基金项目(19GLB015)。

摘　　要：基于PVAR模型,以我国30个省(市、自治区)2010—2018年数据为例,从全国和东中西区域层面分析科技创新、产业结构升级与碳排放效率的动态关系。结果表明:(1)从全国层面看,科技创新、产业结构升级与碳排放效率自身具有较强的协调性且相互间能够产生正向的促进作用。(2)从区域内部来看,自东向西,科技创新、产业结构升级与碳排放效率的协调程度逐步递减。东部地区基本实现了三个变量的协调发展,中部地区产业结构升级与碳排放效率尚未形成双向互动关系,碳排放效率对产业结构升级提升的推动力不足;西部地区科技创新水平偏低,产业结构不合理、碳排放效率较低,三者均未形成良性互动。Based on the 2010-2018 Chinese provincial panel data, a PVAR model is constructed to analyze the dynamic relationship between technological innovation, industrial structure upgrading and carbon emissions efficiency at the national and regional levels. The results show that:(1) From the national level, technological innovation, industrial structure upgrading and carbon emissions efficiency have strong self-coordination and mutual positive promotion;(2) From the regional level, from east to west, technological innovation, industrial structure upgrading and carbon emissions efficiency of coordination degree decrease, the eastern region have basically achieved the coordinated development of the three variables,industrial structure upgrade and carbon emissions efficiency in the central region have not yet formed a two-way interaction, carbon emissions efficiency has insufficient impetus to improve industrial structure upgrade. In the western region, the level of technological innovation is low,the industrial structure is unreasonable, and the carbon emissions efficiency is low as well.There is no positive interaction among the three factors in Western China.

关 键 词：科技创新 产业结构升级 碳排放效率 PVAR模型 

分 类 号：F124.3[经济管理—世界经济] F121.3[环境科学与工程—环境科学] X22