基于特征价格模型的轨道交通对沿线住宅价格影响研究——以长沙轨道交通1号线为例  

Study on the impact of rail transit on housing price along the line based on characteristic price model:Taking Changsha Rail Transit Line#1 as an example

作　　者：唐钱龙 胡婉萱[3] TANG Qianlong;HU Wanxuan(School of Civil Engineering,Central South University,Changsha 410075,China;Jiangxi Vocational and Technical College of Communications,Nanchang 330013,China;School of Law,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China)

机构地区：[1]中南大学土木工程学院,湖南长沙410075 [2]江西交通职业技术学院,江西南昌330013 [3]江西财经大学法学院,江西南昌330013

出　　处：《铁道科学与工程学报》2022年第2期570-578,共9页Journal of Railway Science and Engineering

基　　金：高铁联合基金资助项目(U1734208);江西省教育厅科学技术研究项目(GJJ204611)。

摘　　要：轨道交通建设在中国已历经了五十多年的发展历程。随着城市人口尤其是大城市人口的急剧增长,轨道交通已是解决城市通勤问题的重要交通工具,地铁也逐渐成为很多城市的名牌。自2010年起,轨道交通客运量一直保持着稳定增长,这不仅纾解了城市交通拥堵,而且地铁的外部经济性也为城市带来巨大的经济效益。如何衡量轨道交通的外部经济效应成为地产开发商、消费者及城市规划者要考虑的问题。基于特征价格模型理论,以房价作为被解释变量,通过构建特征价格模型,运用SPSS数据分析对长沙轨道交通1号线周边101个小区的住宅价格以及其他楼盘信息研究,采用模型检验、描述性统计、半对数回归模型实验等方法量化轨道交通的外部经济效益。研究发现,在假设其他因素对房价没有影响,只考虑地铁这一单因素时,住宅价格和住宅与地铁站点之间的距离呈负相关关系,亦即通常住宅越接近地铁站点,它的价格也相对较高,反之可推。但这一影响只在一定范围内才成立,在住宅距离站点1000 m以外时,地铁这一因素对房地产价格产生的影响非常有限。Rail transit construction in China has gone through more than 50 years of development.With the rapid growth of urban population,especially in big cities,rail transit has become an important means of transportation to solve the problem of urban commuting,and subway has gradually become a famous brand in many cities.Since 2010,the passenger volume of rail transit has maintained a steady growth,which not only alleviates urban traffic congestion,but also brings huge economic benefits to the city due to the externality of subway.How to measure the external economic effect of rail transit has become a problem that real estate developers,consumers and urban planners should consider.Based on the theory of characteristic price model,the housing prices were used as explanatory variables.By developing characteristic price model and using the SPSS®software program for data analysis,the housing prices of 101 residential zones scattered around therail transit line#1 in Changsha,China and the information of other real estates were studied.The external economic benefits of rail transit were quantified by performingthe model verification,descriptive statistics,semi-logarithmic regression model tests,etc.It was found that with other factors assumedto have no influences on housing prices and only the single factor of rail transit considered,the housing pricesare negatively correlated with the distances between the residential zones and the subway stations.That is,the closer the residential zones are from the subway stations,the relatively higher the housing prices are;and vice versa.However,this trend is valid only within a certain distance range.When the residential zones are distanced more than 1000 m from the subway stations,the influence exerted by the factor of rail transit on the prices of real estates is considerably limited.

关 键 词：地铁 住宅价格 特征价格模型 外部经济效应 

分 类 号：TU91[建筑科学—建筑理论]