天津市产业生态化水平与经济社会发展的相互影响研究  

Study on the Interaction between the Level of Industrial Ecology and Economic & Social Development in Tianjin

作　　者：李晶晶 蒋玉洁[1,2] 孙海鹄 LI Jingjing;JIANG Yujie;SUN Haihu(Institute of Economicsand Management Research,Tianjin University of Science and Technology,Tianjin 300222,China;Center of Finance Engineering and Risk Management,Tianjin University of Science and Technology,Tianjin 300222,China)

机构地区：[1]天津科技大学经济与管理学院,天津300222 [2]天津科技大学金融工程与风险管理研究中心,天津300222

出　　处：《生态经济》2022年第4期77-84,共8页Ecological Economy

基　　金：天津市教委科研计划项目成果“天津市产业生态化发展评估指标体系构建及应用研究”(2019SK146)。

摘　　要：从生态环境质量和资源能源消耗两个层面构建天津市产业生态化水平评价指标体系,并利用BVAR模型及其相应的脉冲响应和方差分解结果分析了1999—2018年天津市产业生态化水平变化与四个经济社会发展指标之间的相互影响机制。实证结果表明,未来天津市无论是以经济发展还是以生态优化为核心目标,都可以借助两者之间相辅相成的关系相互促进、协调有序地进行发展,两者并不矛盾。但需要注意的是,不同的产业结构优化发展路径可能与产业生态化发展水平之间存在不同程度甚至不同方向的相互影响关系。This paper constructs the evaluation index system of Tianjin’s industrial ecological level from two aspects which are ecological environment quality and resource & energy consumption.We analyze the interaction mechanism between the change of Tianjin’s industrial ecological level and four Tianjin’s economic and social development indicators from 1999 to 2018 by using BVAR model and its corresponding impulse response and variance decomposition results.The empirical results show that whether economic development or ecological optimization is the core goal of Tianjin in the future,they can promote each other and develop in a coordinated and orderly way with the help of the complementary relationship between the two.However,different development paths of industrial structure optimization may have different degrees or even different directions of interaction with the level of industrial ecological development.

关 键 词：产业生态化 综合评价指标 熵值法 BVAR 脉冲响应 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]