冷热电三联供系统蓄能装置优化运行策略分析  

Optimal Operation Strategy of the Energy Storage Unit in Combined Cooling,Heating and Power Supply System during Transition Seasons

作　　者：周守军[1] 马聪聪 ZHOU Shou-jun;MA Cong-cong(School of Thermal Energy Engineering,Shandong Jianzhu University)

机构地区：[1]山东建筑大学热能工程学院

出　　处：《建筑热能通风空调》2022年第2期13-17,共5页Building Energy & Environment

摘　　要：为充分发挥冷热电三联供系统中蓄热装置的削峰填谷及均衡冷热电负荷匹配的作用,本文运用R studio软件,采用多元线性参数回归法构建建筑负荷预测模型,并通过优化处理得到准确度更高、回归效果更好的多元非线性回归模型。针对上海市某三联供系统的蓄能装置在过渡季节的运行调节建立其负荷预测模型,并以此指导该系统运行获得良好节能收益。To improve the performance of heat storage devices in the combined cooling,heating and power supply system,namely the peak&valley balance and load matching,this study develops a load prediction model for buildings based on the multi-variable linear regression analysis by the software R studio.A multi-variable non-linear regression model with more accurate and regression performance is obtained by the optimization.The load prediction model for the heat storage device in one combined cooling,heating and power supply system in Shanghai is proposed based on the operation adjustment during the transition seasons.Significant energy saving can be achieved under the guideline of the proposed model.

关 键 词：蓄能装置 负荷预测 多元非线性回归 运行优化 

分 类 号：TU83[建筑科学—供热、供燃气、通风及空调工程]