主要工业国家先进制造技术优势动态分布与政策性成因——基于技术生命周期的分析  

Dynamic Distribution and Policy Causes of the Advantages of Advanced Manufacturing Technology in Major Industrial Countries: Analysis Based on Technology Life Cycle

作　　者：李林[1] 杨锋林[1] 何建洪[1] LI Lin;YANG Fenglin;HE Jianhong(School of Economics and Management,Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications,Chongqing 400065,China)

机构地区：[1]重庆邮电大学经济管理学院,重庆400065

出　　处：《中国软科学》2022年第2期44-55,共12页China Soft Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金面上项目“后追赶阶段我国企业面向先进制造业的技术赶超研究”(18BGL039)。

摘　　要：先进制造技术是支撑全球第四次工业革命的重要基石。基于技术生命周期理论,运用Logistic模型与RTA指数对世界主要工业国家先进制造技术创新的时间序列、子领域空间分布情况进行了分析。研究发现,无论是从整体的时间序列,还是特定的国家看,先进制造技术子领域创新发展并不均衡,这种不均衡可能是各国政府直接或间接干预的结果;从技术生命周期趋势看,2017—2023是全球先进制造技术转型发展的一个重要时期,多数技术领域都存在创新突破的机会窗口。同时探讨美国、日本、德国等工业强国获取先进制造技术优势的原因,并对中国发展先进制造技术提出政策启示。Advanced Manufacturing Technology is the cornerstone of the Global Information Revolution. Based on the theory of Technology Life Cycle, this paper analyzes the time series and sub-domain spatial distribution of advanced manufacturing technology innovation in major industrial countries by using Logistic model and RTA index. It is found that the development of innovation in the Subfield of advanced manufacturing technology is not balanced either in the whole time series or in specific countries, which may be the result of direct or indirect intervention by governments According to the trend of technology life cycle, 2017-2023 is an important period of transformation and development of global advanced manufacturing technology. At the same time, the paper briefly discusses the reasons why the United States, Japan, Germany and other industrial powers obtain the advantage of advanced manufacturing technology, and the Policy Enlightenment for China to develop advanced manufacturing technology.Advanced Manufacturing Technology is the cornerstone of the Global Information Revolution. Based on the theory of Technology Life Cycle, this paper analyzes the time series and sub-domain spatial distribution of advanced manufacturing technology innovation in major industrial countries by using Logistic model and RTA index. It is found that the development of innovation in the Subfield of advanced manufacturing technology is not balanced either in the whole time series or in specific countries, which may be the result of direct or indirect intervention by governments According to the trend of technology life cycle, 2017-2023 is an important period of transformation and development of global advanced manufacturing technology. At the same time, the paper briefly discusses the reasons why the United States, Japan, Germany and other industrial powers obtain the advantage of advanced manufacturing technology, and the Policy Enlightenment for China to develop advanced manufacturing technology.

关 键 词：先进制造技术 技术生命周期 技术优势指数 动态分布 

分 类 号：F270[经济管理—企业管理]