企业数字化转型对创新生态系统的影响:基于市场规模动态的多Agent模型  

Impact of Firms’Digital Transformation on the Innovation Ecosystem: A Multi-agent Model Considering Dynamic of Market Size

作　　者：杨伟[1] 吉梨霞 周青[1] YANG Wei;JI Li-xia;ZHOU Qing(Management School,Hangzhou Dianzi University,Hangzhou 310018,China)

机构地区：[1]杭州电子科技大学管理学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《中国管理科学》2022年第6期223-232,共10页Chinese Journal of Management Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71932005,72174051,71673074);浙江省属高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(GK199900299012-201)。

摘　　要：企业数字化转型不仅影响了企业的创新绩效,还通过“自下而上”的作用机制影响着整个创新生态系统的演化。构建了一个多agent模型,在考虑市场规模动态的情况下研究企业数字化转型对创新生态系统的影响。数值实验和案例分析表明,企业数字化转型对创新生态系统的影响与市场规模有着密切的关联。成长型市场条件下,企业数字化转型有力地提升了整个创新生态系统的数字化程度、创新成功率和创新收益。稳定型和衰退型市场条件下,整个创新生态系统的数字化程度和创新成功率到达一定程度后会停滞不前,衰退型市场条件下创新收益还会逐步下降。这意味着并非所有的企业和产业都可以从数字化转型中获益,需要基于市场规模特征进行权变决策。Digital transformation not only affects the innovation performance of enterprises, but also affects the evolution of the innovation ecosystem through the “bottom-up” mechanism. In this study, a multi-agent model is built to examine the impact of digital transformation on the innovation ecosystem considering the market size dynamics.Numerical simulations and cases analysis show that the impact of enterprise digital transformation on innovation ecosystem is closely related to market size. In a growing market, the digital transformation significantly enhances the digitization level, the success rate of cooperative innovation, and the innovation performance. In a stable or a recessionary market, the digitalization level and the success rate of innovation stagnate after reaching a certain level. Meanwhile, the innovation performance gradually declines in a recessionary market. The research results indicate that not all enterprises and industries can benefit from digital transformation and need contingency decisions based on the characteristics of market size.

关 键 词：数字化转型 创新生态系统 市场规模 多AGENT模型 

分 类 号：N945[自然科学总论—系统科学] F273[经济管理—企业管理]