农村居民消费需求变动对经济增长的拉动作用分析  

Pulling Effect of Rural Residents’ Consumption Demand Changes on Economic Growth

作　　者：方敏 FANG Min(Wenzhou Business College,Wenzhou 325000,China)

机构地区：[1]温州商学院,浙江温州325000

出　　处：《江西农业学报》2022年第6期243-246,共4页Acta Agriculturae Jiangxi

基　　金：2021年度国家金融与发展实验室温州研究基地校内开放研究课题“创业保险发展的可行性探究”(HX202122)。

摘　　要：以XX省为例,建立经济增长和农村居民消费间的向量自回归(VAR)模型,最后对农村居民消费需求变动对经济的拉动作用进行全面的分析。研究结果表明,XX省农村经济增长和居民消费间存在着长期稳定的协整关系;GDP为农村居民消费的原因,并且只存在单向因果关系,表明了经济增长对农村居民消费具有显著拉动作用。The XX Province was taken as an example, and a vector autoregressive(VAR) model between economic growth and rural residents’ consumption was established. Finally, the pulling effect of the change of rural residents’ consumption demand on the economy was comprehensively analyzed. The results show that there is a long-term and stable co-integration relationship between rural economic growth and residents’ consumption in XX Province. GDP is the reason for rural residents’ consumption, and there is only one-way causality, indicating that economic growth has a significant pulling effect on rural residents’ consumption.

关 键 词：经济增长 农村居民消费 拉动作用 向量自回归 

分 类 号：F32[经济管理—产业经济]