大数据时代数据总量增长的新摩尔定律辨析——吉姆·格雷是否真的提出过新摩尔定律?  

Probing into the "New Moore’s Law" on Data Growth in the Age of Big Data——Has Jim Gray Really Proposed the "New Moore′s Law" ?

作　　者：辛冬播 李廷军[1] XIN Dong-bo;LI Ting-jun(School of Education,Jianghan University,Wuhan 430056,China)

机构地区：[1]江汉大学教育学院,湖北武汉430056

出　　处：《软件导刊》2022年第9期236-240,共5页Software Guide

基　　金：湖北省教育厅人文社会科学研究一般项目(鄂教思政函【2018】2号,18G035)。

摘　　要：当前,所谓的吉姆·格雷新摩尔定律在学界渐有流行趋势。大多数引用该定律的中文文献中未注明相关出处,也没有结合统计数据加以验证。通过追溯溯源地分析相关中英文文献表述,逐步理清了国内有关新摩尔定律的各种来由,并没有发现吉姆·格雷提出新摩尔定律的直接证据。结合逻辑分析,以及全球数据量增长的相关统计,认为所谓的吉姆·格雷新摩尔定律表述有明显漏洞,据此推测吉姆·格雷并没有提出所谓的吉姆·格雷新摩尔定律,应该是国内一些学者对吉姆·格雷某些观点的误读。经过研究认为,新摩尔定律可以表述为全球数据总量每3年将翻一番。At present,the so-called Jim Gray′s new Moore′s law is becoming more and more popular in Chinese academic circles. This study found that most Chinese literature on this law failed to indicate the source of relevant references,nor did it be verified with statistical data. Secondly,this study has traced back to the source,analyzed various Chinese and English literature expressions,and gradually clarified various reasons for the new Moore′s law in China,and found no direct evidence of Jim Gray′s new Moore′s law. Combined with logical analysis and relevant statistics on the growth of global data volume,the expression of the so-called Jim Gregory new Moore′s law itself also has obvious loopholes. Therefore,this study speculates that Jim gray did not put forward the so-called Jim gray new Moore′s law,which should be a misunderstanding of some views of Jim gray by some domestic scholars. Finally,this study holds that the new Moore′s law of the exponential growth of the total global data can be expressed as:the total global data will double every three years.

关 键 词：大数据 数据总量 新摩尔定律 吉姆·格雷 

分 类 号：TP301[自动化与计算机技术—计算机系统结构]