数字孪生山洪灾害“四预”试点建设构想及展望——以新疆托里县为例  

Conception and prospect of the pilot construction of FEDE of digital twin flash flood disaster——Taking Tuoli County in Xinjiang as an example

作　　者：韩培[1,2] 王新涛 郭东光 陈超 董林垚 张长伟[1,2] 邹明洋 HAN Pei;WANG Xintao;GUO Dongguang;CHEN Chao;DONG Linyao;ZHANG Changwei;ZOU Mingyang(Yangtze River Water Resources Commission,Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute,Wuhan 430010;Engineering Research Center of Mountain Flood and Geological Disaster Prevention and Control,Ministry of Water Resources,Wuhan 430010;Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Flood Control and Drought Relief Service Center,Urumqi 830000;Defense Department of Water Resources Department of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,Urumqi 830000;Wuhan Zhicheng Yuntu Geographic Information Technology Co.,Ltd.,Wuhan 430070)

机构地区：[1]长江水利委员会长江科学院,武汉430010 [2]水利部山洪地质灾害防治工程技术研究中心,武汉430010 [3]新疆维吾尔自治区防汛抗旱服务中心,乌鲁木齐830000 [4]新疆维吾尔自治区水利厅防御处,乌鲁木齐830000 [5]武汉智城云图地理信息技术有限公司,武汉430070

出　　处：《中国防汛抗旱》2022年第10期40-47,共8页China Flood & Drought Management

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFE0111903);新疆维吾尔自治区水利科技项目(XSKJ-2022-02);湖南省水利科技项目(XSKJ2019081-15);中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费项目(CKSF2020180/TB)。

摘　　要：积极响应水利部“十四五”时期“数字孪生工程建设”的号召和要求,结合区域山洪灾害防御现实的需求,以新疆托里县为例,提出了基于数字孪生技术的山洪灾害预报、预警、预演、预案(以下简称“四预”)试点建设的系统框架、建设内容、技术路线和实施方法。拟建立涵盖信息基础设施、数据底板、模型库、知识库和山洪灾害“四预”功能的托里县数字孪生山洪灾害“四预”平台体系,解决当前该县山洪灾害防治资料缺乏、预报精度低、预警传达弱、预演实施难等问题,提升地区山洪灾害防御能力和保障人民生命财产安全,为后期新疆“数字孪生流域”和“数字孪生工程”建设奠定基础。Actively responding to the call and requirements of"Digital Twin Project Construction"during the fourteenth fiveyear period of the Ministry of Water Resources,combining with the actual needs of regional flash flood disaster prevention,taking Tuoli County of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region as an example,the system framework,construction content,technical route and implementation method of the pilot construction of FEDE(four functions of forecast,early warning,drill and emergency plan)for flash flood disasters based on digital twin technology are proposed.It is planned to establish a digital twin flash flood disaster FEDE platform system in Tuoli County including information infrastructure,data base,model base,knowledge base and flash flood disaster FEDE functions.It can solve the current problems of the lack of data on the prevention and control of flash flood disasters,low forecast accuracy,weak early warning communication,and difficult rehearsal and implementation,and improve the regional flash flood disaster prevention capabilities and ensure the safety of people’s lives and properties.It will lay a solid foundation for the following construction of"Digital Twin Watershed"and"Digital Twin Project"in Xinjiang.

关 键 词：数字孪生 山洪灾害“ 四预”平台 试点建设 模型库 知识图谱 新疆托里县 

分 类 号：X43[环境科学与工程—灾害防治] S157[农业科学—土壤学]