导弹阵地改造施工风险分析  

Risk Analysis of Position Reconstruction Construction

作　　者：韩志超 朱军 丁东达 霍世平 李鸣宇 HAN Zhi-chao;ZHU Jun;DING Dong-da;HUO Shi-ping;LI Ming-yu(Space Engineering University,Beijing 102200;Unit 96743 of PLA,Tianshui 741000,China)

机构地区：[1]航天工程大学,北京102200 [2]中国人民解放军96743部队,甘肃天水741000

出　　处：《指挥控制与仿真》2022年第6期135-140,共6页Command Control & Simulation

摘　　要：针对导弹阵地改造施工过程中,风险来源种类多,呈现方式多样及动态耦合性等特点,提出了基于扎根理论的阵地改造施工风险分析模型。结合ZE阵地(某导弹阵地)改造实例,采用扎根理论分析施工过程中可能存在的风险隐患,通过数据收集、编码和体系构建,建立了“状态变更”风险体系,识别出6个主要风险、35个风险因素,并针对风险发生特点规律提出应对措施,为改造施工决策和风险管控提供了参考和依据。Aiming at the characteristics of many kinds of risk sources,various presentation modes and dynamic coupling in the process of position reconstruction construction,a risk analysis model of position reconstruction construction based on grounded theory is proposed.Combined with the example of ZE position reconstruction,the grounded theory method is used to identify and analyze the potential risks that may exist in the construction process.Through data collection,coding and system construction,the"state change"risk system is established,6 main risks and 35 risk factors are identified,and countermeasures are put forward according to the characteristics and laws of risks,which provides a reference and basis for reconstruction construction decision-making and risk management and control.

关 键 词：阵地改造 风险分析 扎根理论 风险识别 施工 

分 类 号：E951[军事—军事工程] TU714[建筑科学—建筑技术科学]