环境规制对中国海水养殖业绿色转型的影响——基于动态面板模型的实证检验  

Impact of environmental regulations on the green transition of China’s mariculture industry:Empirical test based on a dynamic panel model

作　　者：仇荣山 韩立民[1,2] 徐杰[1] 殷伟 QIU Rongshan;HAN Limin;XU Jie;YIN Wei(School of Management,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,China;Institute of Marine Development,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,China)

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学管理学院,青岛266100 [2]中国海洋大学海洋发展研究院,青岛266100

出　　处：《资源科学》2022年第8期1615-1629,共15页Resources Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(21&ZD100);中央高校基本科研业务费专项(202061038);河南省高校人文社会科学研究一般项目(2023-ZZJH-016)。

摘　　要：加快海水养殖业绿色转型对于全面推进海洋生态文明建设具有重要的现实意义,然而环境规制能否以及如何促进海水养殖业绿色转型尚无定论。本文以波特假说理论为基础,深入分析环境规制影响海水养殖业绿色转型的作用机制,以2009—2019年中国沿海地区省际面板数据为样本,采用基于系统GMM的动态面板模型和面板门限回归模型实证检验环境规制对海水养殖业绿色转型的影响。研究发现:(1)环境规制对海水养殖业绿色转型总体呈现先抑制后促进的“U”型非线性影响,且影响具有一定的滞后性。(2)不同环境规制对海水养殖业绿色转型的影响存在异质性,命令型环境规制对海水养殖业绿色转型产生先抑制后促进的“U”型非线性影响,市场型环境规制对海水养殖业绿色转型的影响在短期内不显著。(3)市场型环境规制对海水养殖业绿色转型的影响存在基于命令型环境规制的单门限效应,当命令型环境规制强度跨越阈值时,市场型环境规制对海水养殖业绿色转型的影响将失效。本文结论丰富了波特假说理论在海水养殖业方面的应用,为促进海洋环境治理与海水养殖业绿色转型双赢提供了有力的科学依据。Accelerating the green transition of the mariculture industry is of great practical significance for the overall development of marine ecological civilization.However,whether and how environmental regulations can promote the green transition of mariculture industry has not been clear.Based on Porter’s hypothesis theory,this study conducted an in-depth analysis of the mechanism and role of environmental regulations in influencing the green transition of the mariculture industry.A dynamic panel model of systematic Gaussian mixture model(GMM)and a panel threshold regression model were adopted to empirically test the impact of environmental regulations on the green transition of the mariculture industry,with a sample of inter-provincial panel data from 2009 to 2019 in coastal areas of China.The study found that:(1)Environmental regulations showed a non-linear U-shaped effect,inhibiting and then promoting the green transition of the mariculture industry,with a certain lag in the effect.(2)Heterogeneity exists in the impact of various environmental regulations on the green transition of mariculture.For example,commandbased environmental regulations impact on the green transition of the mariculture in a non-linear Ushaped form that first inhibits and then promotes the transition,while market-based environmental regulations fail to significantly impact on the green transition of the mariculture in the short term.(3)There is a single threshold effect of market-based environmental regulations on the green transition of mariculture based on command-based environmental regulation,that is,the impact of market-based environmental regulations on the green transition of mariculture will fail when the intensity of command-based environmental regulations crosses the threshold.Findings of this research enrich the application of Porter’s hypothesis theory to mariculture and provide a sound scientific basis for promoting a win-win situation for both marine environmental management and the green transiation of mariculture.

关 键 词：环境规制 海水养殖业 绿色转型 波特假说 系统GMM动态面板模型 门限回归模型 

分 类 号：F326.4[经济管理—产业经济] X714[环境科学与工程—环境工程]