基于投入产出分析的广东贸易隐含碳排放研究  

Input-output analysis on regional trade embodied carbon emissions of Guangdong Province

作　　者：丁浩 张晋 刘建林 张惠 唐川东[4] 刘毅[5] 郝艳茹 桂东伟[6] DING Hao;ZHANG Jin;LIU Jianlin;ZHANG Hui;TANG Chuandong;LIU Yi;HAO Yanru;GUI Dongwei(Department of Ecology/Institute of Hydrobiology,College of Life Science and Technology,Jinan University,Guangzhou,510632,China;School of Public Administration,South China Agricultural University,Guangzhou,510642,China;School of Public Administration,Guangzhou University,Guangzhou,510006,China;China Academy Of Urban Planning&Design Western Branch,Chongqing,401121,China;PetroChina Southwest Oil&Gasfield Company Safety,Environment&Technology Supervision Research Institute,Chengdu,610000,China;State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology,Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Urumqi,830011,China)

机构地区：[1]暨南大学生命科学技术学院,生态学系/水生生物研究所,广州510632 [2]华南农业大学公共管理学院,广州510642 [3]广州大学公共管理学院,广州510006 [4]中国城市规划设计研究院西部分院,重庆401121 [5]中国石油天然气股份有限公司西南油气田分公司安全环保与技术监督研究院,成都610000 [6]中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,新疆策勒荒漠草地生态系统国家野外科学观测研究站,乌鲁木齐830011

出　　处：《环境化学》2023年第1期231-240,共10页Environmental Chemistry

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(42077156);广东省基础与应用基础研究基金(2020A1515011130)资助。

摘　　要：根据《巴黎协定》发展目标,我国计划将在2030年前实现碳达峰,2060年前实现碳中和,意义重大且任务艰巨.为实现减排目标,将减排责任落实到省际层面,准确核算省际间由于贸易带来的碳转移问题,对于完善碳排放工程中的权利和义务,实现碳排放控制目标至关重要.粤港澳大湾区是国家战略建设重点,本研究基于多区域投入产出数据,核算了湾区核心广东省2012年、2015年和2017年各部门和各行业的碳排放总量,分析了广东省由于贸易带来的输入和输出隐含碳的排放特征.研究结果表明,2012—2017年间,广东省属于碳排放净流入区域,但净流入量逐年递减.从行业的角度来看,重工业、服务业和运输业;从部门的角度来看,化学产品、批发与零售和通信设备、计算机和其他电子设备,是广东省重点排放的行业和部门.此外,广东省输出的地区主要是河南、浙江和江苏等地;输入的地区主要是内蒙古、河北和江苏等地.研究成果将为碳排放空间配置的优化和碳排放权交易的制定提供理论支持.According to the goal of the Paris Agreement,China aims to have CO_(2) emissions peak before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality before 2060,which is of great significance and an arduous task.Therefore,to achieve the goal of emissions reduction,it needs to implement the responsibility of emissions reduction to the provincial level and accurately calculate the carbon migration caused by inter-provincial trade,which is important to improve the rights and obligations in the carbon emissions.The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is one of the main focuses of the national strategic construction of China.This study calculates the total carbon emissions of various sectors and industries in the core province Guangdong in 2012,2015 and 2017,and estimates the carbon emissions characteristics of the input-output embodied carbon of Guangdong Province.The results show that Guangdong province belongs to the net inflow region of carbon emissions during 2012—2017,but the net inflow decreased year by year.From the perspective of industries,heavy industry,service industry,and transportation industry are the key industries;From the perspective of sectors,chemical products,wholesale and retail trade,and communication equipment,computers and other electronic equipment are the key sectors.In addition,the export areas of Guangdong are mainly Henan,Zhejiang,and Jiangsu.The import areas are mainly Inner Mongolia,Hebei,and Jiangsu.The results provided herein would assist the optimization of the spatial allocation of carbon emissions and the assignment of the carbon emissions trade.

关 键 词：碳排放 投入产出表 广东省 

分 类 号：X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学] F752.8[经济管理—国际贸易]