基于人口变动趋势的厦门基础教育资源配置  

Resource Allocation of Preschool and K-12 Education in Xiamen Based on the Trend of Population Change

作　　者：孟华 姬洁 周娇 MENG Hua;JI Jie;ZHOU Jiao(School of Public Policy,Xiamen University,Xiamen 361005,China;School of Public Affairs,Xiamen University,Xiamen 361005,China)

机构地区：[1]厦门大学公共政策研究院 [2]厦门大学公共事务学院,福建厦门361005

出　　处：《集美大学学报（教育科学版）》2022年第6期71-80,共10页Journal of Jimei University：Education Science Edition

基　　金：厦门市社科联、厦门市社科院资助的厦门市社会科学调研课题一般项目“人口变动趋势下厦门教育布局调整的政策研究”(厦社科研[2022]C14号)。

摘　　要：在新的人口变动趋势下,如何配置教育资源是厦门市面临的重要研究课题。以厦门市七普人口数据为基础,借助PADIS-INT预测厦门市2023—2030年的基础教育学龄人口变动趋势。进而测算厦门市基础教育在校生规模变动趋势,并且估算厦门市基础教育资源的需求情况。最后通过对比基础教育资源供需水平提出未来几年厦门市基础教育资源配置的政策建议。How to allocate the educational resources is an important research topic for Xiamen.This paper,based on the 7 th national census data of Xiamen,predicts the trend of preschool and K-12 school age population change in Xiamen from 2023 to 2030 with the help of PADIS-INT.Then,it will gauge the student size change based on the school age population trend and the demands of educational resources of Xiamen.Finally,policy suggestions will be proposed after comparing the supply-demand levels of educational resources.

关 键 词：基础教育资源配置 人口变动趋势 厦门市 

分 类 号：G521.9[文化科学—教育学]