中国能源系统“高碳解锁”向低碳转型机制研究基于社会-技术转型视角  

Transition Mechanism of Energy System in China from High-Carbon Unlocking to Low-Carbon: Based on the Socio-Technical Transition Perspective

作　　者：邹瞳 郭丕斌[1,2] 吴青龙 ZOU Tong;GUO Pibin;WU Qinglong(School of Economics and Management,North University of China,Taiyuan 030051,China;Department of Management,Shanxi Institute of Economic Management,Taiyuan 030024,China)

机构地区：[1]中北大学经济与管理学院,山西太原030051 [2]山西经济管理干部学院管理系,山西太原030024

出　　处：《中北大学学报（社会科学版）》2023年第2期33-39,共7页Journal of North University of China：Social Science Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目:社会技术变迁驱动能源转型的动力机制及治理政策(71874119);教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目:作为碳达峰与碳中和工具的区域碳资产负债表理论与方法研究(21YJA790062);山西省研究生创新项目:社会-技术视角下中国能源低碳转型路径探析(2021Y637)。

摘　　要：能源转型对中国实现二氧化碳排放“30·60”目标具有重要意义。基于社会-技术转型视角,从时局、社会-技术体制、生态位三个层级深入剖析“高碳解锁”向低碳转型的内在机制,并通过中国公共汽车交通低碳转型案例进行实证研究。研究发现:中国能源系统“高碳解锁”向低碳转型的实质是“高碳锁定”的社会-技术体制向“低碳锁定”变迁的动态过程。转型初期应以政策扶持为主导,保障低碳创新能够突破生态位,形成“机会窗口”;转型后期应引导低碳转型向“市场主导-政策协同型”过渡,提高低碳创新的市场竞争力。Energy transition is important for China to achieve the strategic goals of peaking carbon dioxide emissions before 2030 and carbon neutrality before 2060.Based on the perspective of socio-technical transition,we analyze the inner mechanism of“high carbon unlocking”to low carbon transition from three levels:landscape,socio-technical regime and niche,and conduct an empirical study through the case of low carbon transition of bus transportation in China.The study found that the nature of China's energy transition from“high-carbon unlocking”to low-carbon is a dynamic process of shifting from a socio-technical regime of“high-carbon lock-in”to“low-carbon lock-in”,The early stage of transition should be led by policy support to ensure that low-carbon innovation can break through the niche and form a“window of opportunity”.In the later stage of the transition,the transition to a“market-led-policy-coordinated”low-carbon transition should be guided to improve the market competitiveness of low-carbon innovation.

关 键 词：高碳解锁 低碳转型 社会-技术转型 多层动态分析框架 

分 类 号：F407.2[经济管理—产业经济] X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学]