基于数据关联分析的红树林虫害与气象条件关系研究  

Data association analysis to the relationship between mangrove pests and meteorological conditions

作　　者：黄滢 陈燕丽 莫伟华 许文龙 莫建飞 Huang Ying;Chen Yanli;Mo Weihua;Xu Wenlong;Mo Jianfei(Fangchenggang Meteorological Bureau,Guangxi Fangchenggang 538001,China;Guangxi Institute of Meteorological Sciences,Nanning 530022,China)

机构地区：[1]防城港市气象局,广西防城港538001 [2]广西壮族自治区气象科学研究所,南宁530022

出　　处：《气象研究与应用》2022年第4期20-25,共6页Journal of Meteorological Research and Application

基　　金：广西红树林保护与利用重点实验室开放基金项目(GKLMC-202004和GKLMC-201804);中国气象局气候变化专项(CCSF202030);广西气象科研计划(桂气科2019M02)。

摘　　要：为研究气象条件对红树林病虫害发生的影响,利用2016—2020年广西防城港红树林生态自然保护区内红树林虫害灾情数据和气象数据,采用数据挖掘技术Apriori算法挖掘广州小斑螟、柚木肖弄蝶夜蛾虫害与气象因素之间的关联规则。结果表明,广州小斑螟虫害发生与降水量、湿度、雨日密切相关,湿度和雨日的气候异常程度对广州小斑螟虫害级别产生影响;而柚木肖弄蝶夜蛾的气象影响因子有温度、日照、雨日、降雨量、湿度等多个因子。Using the mangrove pests data and meteorological data from 2016 to 2020 in Fangchenggang Mangrove Ecological Nature Reserve,the Apriori algorithm was used to analyze the association rule between meteorological factors and the Cantonensis pests and Teak Xiaonong Spodoptera in order to study the effect of meteorological conditions on the occurrence of mangrove pests.The analysis found that the occurrence of the Cantonensis pests was closely related to precipitation,humidity,and rainy days,and the amount of humidity and rainy weather had an impact on the Cantonensis pests level.The meteorological influencing factors of the Teak Xiaonong Spodoptera were influenced by a wariety of weather conditions,including temperature,sunshine,rainy days,rainfall,humidity and other factors.

关 键 词：数据挖掘 APRIORI算法 广州小斑螟虫害 柚木肖弄蝶夜蛾虫害 气象因素 

分 类 号：S763[农业科学—森林保护学]