基于AHP−风险网络的城市轨道交通应急演练评估研究  

Research on evaluation of urban rail transit emergency drills based on AHP−risk network

作　　者：刘丹阳 潘寒川[1] LIU Danyang;PAN Hanchuan(School of Urban Railway Transportation,Shanghai University of Engineering Science,Shanghai 201620,China)

机构地区：[1]上海工程技术大学城市轨道交通学院,上海201620

出　　处：《上海工程技术大学学报》2022年第4期410-417,共8页Journal of Shanghai University of Engineering Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目资助(52072235);中国博士后科学基金资助(2021M692413);宁波市自然科学基金项目资助(202003N4146)。

摘　　要：针对城市轨道交通行业在应急演练中所使用的评估方法单一,存在评价指标的权重主观性强,忽视评价指标之间的客观联系等缺点,提出一种基于AHP−风险网络的评估模型.通过风险网络分析计算得到的客观权重来修正层次分析法所得到的主观权重,使评估指标的权重既有专家决策的专业性又有一定的客观性.最后将其应用到上海地铁某车站的大客流应急演练评估中,评估结果验证了该评估模型的有效性,为城市轨道交通应急演练工作提供一种考虑评价指标之间客观联系的主客观结合的评估方法.According to shortcomings that the evaluation methods used in emergency drills are single in urban rail transit,there is strong subjectivity in the weights of evaluation indicators and it neglects of the objective links between them,an evaluation model based on AHP−risk network was proposed.The objective weights obtained from the risk network were used to correct the subjective weights obtained from the analysis hierarchy process,so that the weights of the indicators of the emergency drill evaluation were both professional and objective.Finally,it was applied to the evaluation of a large passenger flow of emergency drill in a station of Shanghai metro,and the evaluation results had verified the effectiveness of the evaluation model.The model can provide a combination of subjective and objective assessment method that considering objective links between evaluation indicators for urban rail transit emergency drills.

关 键 词：城市轨道交通 层次分析法 风险网络 大客流演练 

分 类 号：U231.92[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]