我国海岛旅游发展与生态环境耦合协调评价与影响因素研究  

Research on the Evaluation and Influencing Factors of the Coupling and Coordination of Island Tourism Development and Ecological Environment in China

作　　者：李梦程 王成新 薛明月 秦伟山 Li Mengcheng;Wang Chengxin;Xue Mingyue;Qin Weishan

机构地区：[1]山东师范大学地理与环境学院,济南250358 [2]鲁东大学资源与环境工程学院,烟台264025 [3]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101

出　　处：《复印报刊资料（旅游管理）》2022年第1期12-22,共11页TOURISM MANAGEMENT

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41501129);山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2019MD043)。

摘　　要：海岛旅游发展与生态环境协调是实现人海关系可持续发展的基础。选取中国12个海岛县(市、区)作为研究区,首先基于CSAED模型和PSR模型分别构建了旅游发展水平和生态环境质量评价指标体系,并借助BP神经网络模型测算其2018年旅游发展水平与生态环境质量,同时引入耦合协调模型对旅游发展与生态环境的协调程度进行定量评价,最后运用地理加权回归模型探究影响其协调发展的因素。结果表明:①我国12个海岛旅游发展与生态环境的协调程度整体上有待提升,多处于勉强协调状态。②我国12个海岛中75%的海岛旅游发展的速度还未超越生态环境的承载力,但其协调程度低,其不协调的发展状态将会导致旅游的发展超越生态环境的承载力。③旅游吸引力和生态脆弱压力对海岛旅游与生态环境的协调发展影响显著,旅游吸引力与协调程度呈负向影响,空间上旅游吸引力对协调程度的影响自南向北逐渐减弱;生态脆弱压力与耦合协调程度呈正向影响,空间上生态脆弱压力对协调程度的影响自南向北逐渐增强。The coordination of island tourism development and ecological environment is the basis of the sustainable development of man-sea relationship.The 12 island counties(cities and districts)in China were selected as research areas.Firstly,based on the CSAED model and PSR model,the tourism development level and the ecological environment quality evaluation index system were constructed,and the BP neural network model was used to measure its tourism development level and ecological environment quality in 2018.At the same time,a coupled coordination model was introduced to coordinate tourism development and ecological environment quantitative evaluation of the degree.Finally,geographically weighted regression model was used to explore the factors affecting its coordination.The results show that:1)The coordination of the tourism development and ecological environment of 12 islands in China needs to be improved on the whole,and most of them are in a state of reluctantly coordination.2)Of the 12 islands in China,75%of the islands tourism development has not yet exceeded the carrying capacity of the ecological environment,but its low degree of coordination and its uncoordinated development status will lead to the development of tourism beyond the carrying capacity of the ecological environment.3)The attractiveness of tourism and the pressure of ecological fragility have a significant impact on the coordinated development of island tourism and the ecological environment.Tourism attractiveness and the degree of coupling coordination have a negative impact,in terms of space,the influence of tourism attractiveness on the degree of coordination gradually weakens from south to north.Ecological fragility pressure and the degree of coupling coordination have a positive effect,in terms of space,the impact of ecological fragility pressure on the degree of coordination gradually increased from south to north.

关 键 词：旅游发展 生态环境 耦合协调发展 影响因素 海岛县(市、区) 

分 类 号：X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学] X321[经济管理—旅游管理] F592[经济管理—产业经济]